Match Info

LaLiga - Round 37

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio San Mamés (Bilbao)

Referee: Diaz I. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	New World Sport 3, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Focus
Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSPORTS+ Plus
Armenia	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	DAZN
Bangladesh	Begin
Bolivia	Tigo Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5P
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Canada	TSN+
Chile	DirecTV Sports
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	TV2 Play
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
France	beIN Connect
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports Extra 2
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, SCTV
Iraq	Almanasa
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Portugal	DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Sport 1, Arena Sport 3
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga, RTVE Play, Teledeporte
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 3
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 11
United-kingdom	Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSPORTS+ Plus
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, DSPORTS+ Plus, Inter
Vietnam	SCTV Online


	Athletic Bilbao		Celta de Vigo

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.2	3.7	Watch
	2.18	3.2	3.55	Watch
	2.25	3.3	3.81
	2.26	3.3	3.3	Watch
	2.15	3	3.5
	2.16	3.29	3.8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (1.82)	3.22 ↓ (3.63)	3.61 ↓ (4.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Athletic Bilbao
43.8%

Draw
29.7%

Celta de Vigo
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.3%

26.2%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

25.7%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Athletic Bilbao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Athletic Bilbao's form might have worsened.

Celta de Vigo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Bilbao than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Athletic Bilbao, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celta de Vigo than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Celta de Vigo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	25%	15%

Athletic Bilbao - Celta de Vigo Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Athletic will win (votes: 12 - 60%). Celta will win (votes: 3 - 15%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Athletic: 38.5% – 81.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Simon U. (G) 2. Gorosabel A. 5. Alvarez Y. 14. Laporte A. 17. Berchiche Y. 16. Ruiz de Galarreta I. 18. Jauregizar M. 9. Williams I. (C) 20. Gomez U. 7. Berenguer A. 11. Guruzeta G.	13. Radu I. (G) 32. Rodriguez J. 29. Lago Y. 20. Alonso M. 17. Rueda J. 8. Lopez F. 6. Moriba I. 5. Carreira S. 9. Jutgla F. 7. Iglesias B. (C) 19. Swedberg W.
Substitutes
12. Areso J. 19. Boiro A. 25. Izeta 15. Lekue I. 23. Navarro R. 27. Padilla A. (G) 4. Paredes A. 30. Rego A. 44. Sanchez S. 21. Sannadi M. 22. Serrano N. 6. Vesga M.	4. Aidoo J. 23. Alvarez H. 10. Aspas I. 18. Duran P. 39. El Abdellaoui J. 12. Fernandez M. 3. Mingueza O. 14. Nunez A. 21. Ristic M. 22. Sotelo H. 15. Vecino M. 1. Villar I. (G)
Coaches
Valverde E.	Giraldez C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Swedberg W. ⚽, Moriba I. (A),
10', Rueda J. 🟨,
38', Berchiche Y. 🟨,
42', Radu I. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Gomez U. ↓, Navarro R. ↑,
46', Rueda J. ↓, Mingueza O. ↑,
52', 1 - 1, Williams I. ⚽, Berchiche Y. (A),
59', Jutgla F. ↓, Duran P. ↑,
59', Iglesias B. ↓, Aspas I. ↑,
68', Laporte A. 🟨,
71', Jauregizar M. ↓, Rego A. ↑,
74', Swedberg W. ↓, Alvarez H. ↑,
82', Guruzeta G. ↓, Sannadi M. ↑,
82', Berenguer A. ↓, Serrano N. ↑,
86', Williams I. ↓, Izeta ↑,
90+1', Lopez F. ↓, Vecino M. ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Athletic won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Athletic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Athletic is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Athletic: Egiluz U. (Knee Injury) Sancet O. (Muscle Injury) Vivian D. (Ankle Injury) Williams N. (Injury)

There will not play in Celta: Roman M. (Foot Injury) Starfelt C. (Back Injury)

There are questionable in Athletic: Prados Diaz B. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Athletic won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 28:25. (average 1.4:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Athletic won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:14. (average 1.8:1.4).

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now

Ath Bilbao: 0.47% Celta Vigo: 0.3%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Ath Bilbao	6	2	2	2	7:6	1	8
14	Celta Vigo	7	1	4	2	8:6	2	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Athletic Bilbao
Spanish LaLiga
13.05.26	Espanyol - Athletic Bilbao	2:0 ✺
10.05.26	Athletic Bilbao - Valencia	0:1 ✺
02.05.26	Deportivo Alavés - Athletic Bilbao	2:4 ✺
25.04.26	Atlético Madrid - Athletic Bilbao	3:2 ✺
21.04.26	Athletic Bilbao - Osasuna	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLWLW
- Celta de Vigo
Spanish LaLiga
12.05.26	Celta de Vigo - Levante	2:3 ✺
09.05.26	Atlético Madrid - Celta de Vigo	0:1 ✺
03.05.26	Celta de Vigo - Elche	3:1 ✺
26.04.26	Villarreal - Celta de Vigo	2:1 ✺
22.04.26	Barcelona - Celta de Vigo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
14.12.25	Celta de Vigo - Athletic Bilbao	2:0
19.01.25	Celta de Vigo - Athletic Bilbao	1:2
22.09.24	Athletic Bilbao - Celta de Vigo	3:1
15.05.24	Celta de Vigo - Athletic Bilbao	2:1
10.11.23	Athletic Bilbao - Celta de Vigo	4:3
20.05.23	Athletic Bilbao - Celta de Vigo	2:1
29.01.23	Celta de Vigo - Athletic Bilbao	1:0

Upcoming Matches