What is the expert prediction for Getafe vs Athletic Bilbao?

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Getafe vs Athletic Bilbao Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Sunday, April 05, 2026)

Match Info

LaLiga - Round 30

Date: 5 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Coliseum (Getafe)

Referee: Martinez J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 3, Sporty TV, Sporty TV App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Maximo 3, ZAP
Angola	Z Sports 2
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA English 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN
Azerbaijan	Idman TV, Setanta Sports 2
Bangladesh	Begin
Bolivia	ESPN
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Cameroon	CRTV Sports
Canada	TSN+
Chile	Disney+
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play
Ecuador	ESPN
Europe	Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2, Silk Sport 1
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, SCTV, Vidio
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports 2
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 4
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 2
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	ICE Xtra, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mauritius	MBC 11
Mexico	Canal 5, Izzi TV, Sky Sport, TUDN, VIX+, ViX Premium
Moldova	Setanta Sports 2
Mozambique	Startimes Mania
Netherlands	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga, Supersport Maximo 1
North-central-america	RUSH Sports 2 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
Paraguay	ESPN
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 4
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Nova Sport 4, Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga, Supersport Maximo 1
South-america	ViX Latin America
Spain	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 4
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 2
Tanzania	ZBC 2 Tanzania
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 2
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	ON Football, ON Plus, SCTV 15, SCTV Online, VTVcab


	Getafe		Athletic Bilbao

	1	X	2
	3.3	2.88	2.45	Watch
	3.35	2.82	2.52	Watch
	3.48	2.87	2.56
	3.39	2.9	2.46	Watch
	3.3	2.75	2.45
	3.39	2.95	2.52	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.37 ↑ (2.99)	2.86 ↑ (2.82)	2.49 ↓ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Getafe
28.3%

Draw
33.4%

Athletic Bilbao
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.7%

33.6%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

33.3%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Getafe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Athletic Bilbao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Getafe than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Bilbao than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
29.6%	40.7%	29.6%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Getafe will win (votes: 8 - 29.6%). Athletic will win (votes: 8 - 29.6%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 40.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 22.2% – 59.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Getafe (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Getafe (5.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Getafe (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Athletic (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Soria D. (G) 15. Boselli S. 2. Djene (C) 22. Duarte D. 24. Romero Z. 21. Iglesias J. 23. Liso A. 5. Milla L. 8. Arambarri M. 10. Satriano M. 19. Vazquez L.	1. Simon U. (G) 3. Vivian D. 5. Alvarez Y. (C) 14. Laporte A. 17. Berchiche Y. 30. Rego A. 18. Jauregizar M. 9. Williams I. 8. Sancet O. 7. Berenguer A. 11. Guruzeta G.
Substitutes
18. Alex Sancris 20. Birmancevic V. 26. Davinchi 14. Javier Munoz 11. Kamara A. 1. Letacek J. (G) 6. Martin M. 41. Montes J. 16. Rico D. 44. Riquelme A.	12. Areso J. 19. Boiro A. 13. Egiluz U. 20. Gomez U. 15. Lekue I. 23. Navarro R. 27. Padilla A. (G) 16. Ruiz de Galarreta I. 21. Sannadi M. 22. Serrano N. 6. Vesga M. 10. Williams N.
Coaches
Moreno P.	Valverde E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Vazquez L. ⚽, Satriano M. (A),
29', Djene 🟨,
31', Berchiche Y. 🟨,
45+1', Arambarri M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Rego A. ↓, Ruiz de Galarreta I. ↑,
46', Guruzeta G. ↓, Williams N. ↑,
64', Alvarez Y. ↓, Areso J. ↑,
64', Jauregizar M. ↓, Vesga M. ↑,
67', Vazquez L. ↓, Martin M. ↑,
71', Sancet O. ↓, Sannadi M. ↑,
81', Djene ↓, Rico D. ↑,
82', Liso A. ↓, Birmancevic V. ↑,
85', Boselli S. 🟨,
90', 2 - 0, Satriano M. ⚽, Martin M. (A),

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Getafe won 1.

Recent performances by Getafe have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Athletic's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Getafe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Getafe: Abqar A. (Red Card) Davinchi (Knee Injury) Juanmi (Injury) Kiko Femenia (Yellow Cards) Mayoral B. (Knee Injury) Nyom A. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Athletic: Alvarez Y. (Doping) Gorosabel A. (Hip Injury) Paredes A. (Contusion) Prados Diaz B. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Getafe: Kamara A. (Foot Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Getafe won 3 matches, drew 11 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 17:28. (average 0.9:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Getafe won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 0.8:1.2).

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Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Getafe	38	15	6	17	32:38	-6	51
12	Ath Bilbao	38	13	6	19	43:58	-15	45

Last Results with these Odds

Athletic Bilbao - the odds 2.73 are the expected chance of winning is 34.71%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Getafe CF
Spanish LaLiga
21.03.26	Espanyol - Getafe	1:2 ✺
14.03.26	Atlético Madrid - Getafe	1:0 ✺
08.03.26	Getafe - Betis	2:0 ✺
02.03.26	Real Madrid - Getafe	0:1 ✺
22.02.26	Getafe - Sevilla	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 30 WLWWL
- Athletic Bilbao
Spanish LaLiga
22.03.26	Athletic Bilbao - Betis	2:1 ✺
14.03.26	Girona - Athletic Bilbao	3:0 ✺
07.03.26	Athletic Bilbao - Barcelona	0:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.03.26	Real Sociedad - Athletic Bilbao	1:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
28.02.26	Rayo Vallecano - Athletic Bilbao	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
25.10.25	Athletic Bilbao - Getafe	0:1
15.05.25	Getafe - Athletic Bilbao	0:2
15.08.24	Athletic Bilbao - Getafe	1:1
03.05.24	Getafe - Athletic Bilbao	0:2
27.09.23	Athletic Bilbao - Getafe	2:2
01.04.23	Athletic Bilbao - Getafe	0:0
18.10.22	Getafe - Athletic Bilbao	2:2

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Getafe - Athletic Bilbao: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide