Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - League phase - Round 3

Date: 24 October 2024, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio San Mamés (Bilbao) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Krogh M. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	New World Sport 3, New World Sport App
Argentina	16:00	ESPN 3
Armenia	23:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 8
Australia	06:00	Stan Sport
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Sport 5, Moja TV
Canada	15:00	DAZN Canada
Chile	16:00	ESPN 3
China	03:00	QQ Sports
Colombia	14:00	ESPN 3
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 9
Czech Republic	21:00	Nova Sport 5
Denmark	21:00	Disney+
Finland	22:00	Elisa Viihde Sport, Viaplay
France	21:00	Canal+ Live 6
Greece	22:00	COSMOTE Sport 4
Iceland	19:00	Viaplay
Indonesia	02:00	beIN Connect
Laos	02:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	03:00	beIN Connect
Malta	21:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	13:00	FOX Sports Premium
Myanmar	01:30	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	21:00	Ziggo Sport 5
New Zealand	08:00	DAZN New Zealand, TVWan
Norway	21:00	Viaplay
Philippines	03:00	beIN Connect
Portugal	20:00	DAZN 4
Russia	22:00	Okko Sport
Slovakia	21:00	JOJ Play, JOJ Sport
South America	—	ViX Latin America
Spain	21:00	M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	21:00	Disney+
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 19, Blue Sport 19, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Thailand	02:00	beIN Connect
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 6, MEGOGO Sport
United Kingdom	20:00	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 8
Usa	15:00	Paramount+
Venezuela	15:00	Inter
International	19:00	Disney+


	Athletic Bilbao		Slavia Prague

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.4	3.9
	1.98	3.4	3.9
	1.98	3.45	3.95	Watch
	2.02	3.5	4.01
	1.96	3.52	3.89
	1.95	3.5	4
	2.01	3.68	4.08
	2	3.5	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.68)	3.49 ↓ (3.8)	3.97 ↓ (4.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Athletic Bilbao
48.4%

Draw
27.4%

Slavia Prague
24.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55.8%

24.7%

19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1%

27.1%

17.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Athletic Bilbao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Athletic Bilbao's form might have worsened.

Slavia Prague has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Bilbao than the current prediction. (+12.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Athletic Bilbao, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Slavia Prague than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Slavia Prague, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.8%	5.8%	1.4%

Athletic Bilbao - Slavia Prague Predictions

Users Predictions: Athletic Bilbao will win (64 of 69 users predict this - 92.75%).
Confidence interval (95%): 86.63% – 98.87%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Agirrezabala J. (G) 18. de Marcos O. (C) 3. Vivian D. 4. Paredes A. 17. Berchiche Y. 16. Ruiz de Galarreta I. 24. Prados Diaz B. 9. Williams I. 7. Berenguer A. 10. Williams N. 12. Guruzeta G.	31. Kinsky A. (G) 18. Boril J. (C) 4. Zima D. 33. Zmrzly O. 21. Doudera D. 10. Zafeiris C. 19. Dorley O. 12. Diouf M. 14. Michez S. 13. Chytil M. 17. Provod L.
Substitutes
5. Alvarez Y. 11. Djalo A. 20. Gomez U. 2. Gorosabel A. 21. Herrera A. 23. Jauregizar M. 15. Lekue I. 14. Nunez U. 26. Padilla A. (G) 8. Sancet O. 22. Serrano N. 6. Vesga M.	2. Chaloupek S. 25. Chory T. 35. Jurasek M. 57. Kolisek J. 32. Lingr O. 24. Mandous A. (G) 47. Naskos M. 48. Pech Dom. 28. Prebsl F. 50. Slavata F. (G) 6. Wallem C.
Coaches
Valverde E.	Trpisovsky J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, Williams N. ⚽, Berenguer A. (A),
44', Vivian D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
63', Guruzeta G. ↓, Djalo A. ↑,
63', Berenguer A. ↓, Gomez U. ↑,
63', Zmrzly O. ↓, Jurasek M. ↑,
63', Chytil M. ↓, Chory T. ↑,
68', Zafeiris C. 🟨,
72', Michez S. ↓, Lingr O. ↑,
77', Ruiz de Galarreta I. ↓, Jauregizar M. ↑,
77', Williams N. ↓, Sancet O. ↑,
79', de Marcos O. 🟨,
81', Boril J. 🟨,
86', Prados Diaz B. ↓, Herrera A. ↑,
88', Zima D. ↓, Chaloupek S. ↑,
88', Zafeiris C. ↓, Pech Dom. ↑,

Preview

Recent matches Athletic is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Slavia Prague is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Athletic is a favorite.

There will not play in Athletic: Simon U. (Wrist Injury)

There will not play in Slavia Prague: Buzek A. (Inactive) Masopust L. (Hamstring Injury) Ogbu I. (Head Injury) Schranz I. (Muscle Injury) Sevcik P. (Inactive) Vorlicky L. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Slavia Prague: Holes T. (Thigh Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Athletic Bilbao
Spanish LaLiga
19.10.24	Athletic Bilbao - Espanyol	4:1 ✺
06.10.24	Girona - Athletic Bilbao	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
03.10.24	Athletic Bilbao - AZ Alkmaar	2:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
29.09.24	Athletic Bilbao - Sevilla	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
26.09.24	Roma - Athletic Bilbao	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLWTT
- SK Slavia Prague
Czech 1 Liga
20.10.24	Jablonec - Slavia Prague	1:2 ✺
06.10.24	Slavia Prague - Sparta Prague	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
03.10.24	Slavia Prague - Ajax	1:1 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
29.09.24	Bohemians 1905 - Slavia Prague	0:4 ✺
UEFA Europa League
25.09.24	Ludogorets Razgrad - Slavia Prague	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWTWW

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