Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 6 March 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Olimpico (Rome) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Scharer S. (Sui)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport App, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport Maximo 360, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	21:00	SuperSport 3
Argentina	17:00	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	00:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, Q Arena Asia, TOD
Australia	07:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 3
Azerbaijan	00:00	CBC Sport
Belgium	21:00	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 3, VOOsport World 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
Brazil	17:00	Caze TV
Bulgaria	22:00	BTV Action, Voyo
Canada	15:00	DAZN Canada
Chile	17:00	Disney+
China	04:00	iQIYI, ZhiBo8
Colombia	15:00	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Denmark	21:00	Disney+
Finland	22:00	Viaplay, V Sport 2
France	21:00	CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 1, Free
Georgia	00:00	Setanta Sports 1, Silk Sport 3
Germany	21:00	RTL+
Greece	22:00	COSMOTE Sport 4
Hungary	21:00	M4 Sport
Iceland	20:00	Stod 2 Sport 2
India	01:30	JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2
Indonesia	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Israel	22:00	Sport 2
Italy	21:00	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 1, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport Uno
Japan	05:00	Wowow Prime
Kazakhstan	02:00	Qazsport
Laos	03:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	04:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	21:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	14:00	Claro Sports, Fox Sports
Montenegro	21:00	Arena Premium 3
Netherlands	21:00	Ziggo Sport 3
New Zealand	09:00	DAZN New Zealand
North Central America	—	RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean, SportsMax 2 Caribbean, SportsMax App Caribbean
North Macedonia	21:00	Arena Premium 3, TDM Desporto
Norway	21:00	Viaplay
Papua New Guinea	06:00	TVWan Sports
Peru	15:00	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	04:00	beIN Connect
Poland	21:00	Polsat Sport Premium 4
Portugal	20:00	DAZN 1
Romania	22:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Russia	23:00	Okko Sport
Serbia	21:00	Arena Premium 3
Singapore	04:00	beIN Sports 3, StarHub TV+
Slovakia	21:00	JOJ Play, JOJ Sport
Slovenia	21:00	SportKlub 1
South Africa	22:00	SuperSport Premier League
South America	—	ESPN South, ViX Latin America
Spain	21:00	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+
Sweden	21:00	Disney+
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	03:00	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	23:00	Tabii
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United Kingdom	20:00	beIN Sports MENA English 1, Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports 5
Uruguay	17:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	CBS, Paramount+, TUDN, Univision
Venezuela	16:00	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	03:00	ON Plus
International	20:00	Disney+


	Roma		Athletic Bilbao

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.25	2.9
	2.45	3.1	3.1
	2.45	3.1	3.25	Watch
	2.38	3.2	3.38
	2.33	3.16	3.27	Watch
	2.5	3	3
	2.42	3.34	3.14
	2.45	3.1	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (2.27)	3.16 ↓ (3.34)	3.16 ↓ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

Watch this match and UEFA Europa League with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: CBSSN

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Current Win Probability

Roma
39.4%

Draw
30.3%

Athletic Bilbao
30.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.2%

28.7%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

28.6%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Athletic Bilbao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roma than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Bilbao than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.9%	36.8%	5.3%

Roma - Athletic Bilbao Predictions

Users Predictions: 52 users predict this event. Roma will win (votes: 31 - 59.6%). Athletic will win (votes: 3 - 5.8%). It will Tie (votes: 18 - 34.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Roma: 46.3% – 72.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Svilar M. (G) 19. Celik Z. 23. Mancini G. (C) 5. Ndicka E. 2. Rensch D. 61. Pisilli N. 4. Cristante B. 3. Angelino 21. Dybala P. 35. Baldanzi T. 11. Dovbyk A.	13. Agirrezabala J. (G) 18. de Marcos O. (C) 3. Vivian D. 5. Alvarez Y. 17. Berchiche Y. 16. Ruiz de Galarreta I. 23. Jauregizar M. 9. Williams I. 20. Gomez U. 10. Williams N. 21. Sannadi M.
Substitutes
12. Abdulhamid S. 66. Buba Aboubacar 70. De Marzi G. (G) 92. El Shaarawy S. 95. Gollini P. (G) 15. Hummels M. 17. Kone M. 25. Nelsson V. 7. Pellegrini Lo. 56. Saelemaekers A. 14. Shomurodov E. 18. Soule M.	7. Berenguer A. 32. Boiro A. 28. Canales P. 2. Gorosabel A. 12. Guruzeta G. 15. Lekue I. 14. Nunez U. 4. Paredes A. 24. Prados Diaz B. 8. Sancet O. 1. Simon U. (G) 6. Vesga M.
Coaches
Ranieri C.	Valverde E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Alvarez Y. 🟨,
23', Vivian D. ↓, Paredes A. ↑,
34', Jauregizar M. 🟨,
39', Sannadi M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
50', 0 - 1, Williams I. ⚽, Paredes A. (A),
56', 1 - 1, Angelino ⚽, Celik Z. (A),
60', Baldanzi T. ↓, El Shaarawy S. ↑,
60', Rensch D. ↓, Saelemaekers A. ↑,
64', Sannadi M. ↓, Guruzeta G. ↑,
64', Jauregizar M. ↓, Prados Diaz B. ↑,
71', Dovbyk A. ↓, Shomurodov E. ↑,
71', Dybala P. ↓, Soule M. ↑,
72', Shomurodov E. 🟨,
77', Gomez U. ↓, Vesga M. ↑,
77', Williams N. ↓, Berenguer A. ↑,
77', Pisilli N. ↓, Kone M. ↑,
85', Alvarez Y. 🟨,
90+4', 2 - 1, Shomurodov E. ⚽, Saelemaekers A. (A),

Preview

1st leg.

Roma in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Athletic is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Roma could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Roma will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Roma: Marin R. (Injury) Paredes L. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Athletic: Djalo A. (Ankle Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Roma won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1.5:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Roma won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Roma
Italian Serie A
02.03.25	Roma - Como	2:1 ✺
24.02.25	Roma - Monza	4:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
20.02.25	Roma - Porto	3:2 ✺
Italian Serie A
16.02.25	Parma - Roma	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
13.02.25	Porto - Roma	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWWWT
- Athletic Bilbao
Spanish LaLiga
01.03.25	Atlético Madrid - Athletic Bilbao	1:0 ✺
23.02.25	Athletic Bilbao - Valladolid	7:1 ✺
16.02.25	Espanyol - Athletic Bilbao	1:1 ✺
08.02.25	Athletic Bilbao - Girona	3:0 ✺
02.02.25	Betis - Athletic Bilbao	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWTWT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
26.09.24	Roma - Athletic Bilbao	1:1
Club Friendly
07.08.19	Roma - Athletic Bilbao	2:2

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