Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - League phase - Round 2

Date: 3 October 2024, Thursday

Location: Fortuna Arena (Prague)

Referee: Treimanis A. (Lat)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football Plus ROA, SuperSport Variety 1
Albania	SuperSport 4
Argentina	ESPN 2
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 6
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4, Moja TV
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	ESPN 2, ESPN 4
China	QQ Sports
Colombia	ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 5
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Elisa Viihde Sport, Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 5
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 6
Iceland	Viaplay
Indonesia	beIN Connect
Israel	Sport 1
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Mexico	FOX Sports Premium
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4
Russia	Okko Sport
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	SportKlub 3
South-america	ESPN 4 South, ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 4, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Blue Sport 15, Blue Sport 15, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 6
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 8
Usa	Flow Sports 1, Paramount+
Venezuela	Inter
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	Disney+, Prima+ app, VIX App


	Slavia Prague		Ajax

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.7	3.7
	1.93	3.75	3.7
	1.98	3.75	3.75
	1.96	3.76	3.93
	1.97	3.72	3.66
	1.91	3.8	3.9
	1.96	3.98	3.96
	1.98	3.75	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.1)	3.78 ↑ (3.4)	3.79 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Slavia Prague
49.3%

Draw
25.4%

Ajax
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

26.8%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

25.9%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Slavia Prague has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Slavia Prague's performance.

Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Slavia Prague than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajax than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.8%	17.9%	28.2%

Slavia Prague - Ajax Predictions

Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. Slavia Prague will win (votes: 21 - 55.3%). Ajax will win (votes: 10 - 26.3%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 18.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Slavia Prague: 39.5% – 71.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Kinsky A. (G) 3. Holes T. (C) 4. Zima D. 33. Zmrzly O. 21. Doudera D. 28. Prebsl F. 19. Dorley O. 6. Wallem C. 14. Michez S. 13. Chytil M. 32. Lingr O.	22. Pasveer R. (C) 2. Rensch D. 37. Sutalo J. 15. Baas Y. 4. Hato J. 21. van den Boomen B. 38. Hlynsson K. 8. Taylor K. 29. Rasmussen C. 9. Brobbey B. 11. Godts M.
Substitutes
18. Boril J. 2. Chaloupek S. 25. Chory T. 12. Diouf M. 35. Jurasek M. 46. Konecny M. 24. Mandous A. (G) 48. Pech Dom. 17. Provod L. 52. Sloncik S. 54. Tredl J. 10. Zafeiris C.	10. Akpom Ch. 49. Banel J. 50. Faberski J. 3. Gaaei A. 12. Gorter J. (G) 36. Janse D. 13. Kaplan A. 59. Konadu D. 40. Ramaj D. (G) 24. Rugani D. 33. Tahirovic B. 5. Wijndal O.
Coaches
Trpisovsky J.	Farioli F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', Holes T. 🟨,
18', 0 - 1, van den Boomen B. (Pen),
27', Prebsl F. 🟨,
35', Hato J. 🟨,
42', Hlynsson K. ↓, Tahirovic B. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', Baas Y. 🟨,
56', Godts M. ↓, Gaaei A. ↑,
56', Brobbey B. ↓, Akpom Ch. ↑,
56', Rasmussen C. ↓, Wijndal O. ↑,
61', Chytil M. ↓, Chory T. ↑,
61', Michez S. ↓, Jurasek M. ↑,
61', Lingr O. ↓, Provod L. ↑,
61', Wallem C. ↓, Diouf M. ↑,
66', Doudera D. 🟨,
67', 1 - 1, Chory T. ⚽, Jurasek M. (A),
69', Taylor K. 🟨,
74', Prebsl F. ↓, Zafeiris C. ↑,
75', Baas Y. 🟨,
78', van den Boomen B. 🟨,
78', Taylor K. ↓, Rugani D. ↑,
82', Trpisovsky J. 🟨,
90', Wijndal O. 🟨,
90+1', Gaaei A. 🟨,

Preview

Both teams in the last matches got series of victories.

Slavia Prague could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Slavia Prague is a favorite.

There will not play in Slavia Prague: Buzek A. (Inactive) Fila D. (Heel Injury) Masopust L. (Inactive) Ogbu I. (Head Injury) Ogungbayi B. (Knee Injury) Schranz I. (Muscle Injury) Sevcik P. (Inactive) Stanek J. (Inactive) Vlcek T. (Inactive) Vorlicky L. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Ajax: Avila G. (Knee Injury) Berghuis S. (Injury) Fitz-Jim K. (Health problems) Gaaei A. (Injury) Henderson J. (Health problems) Mannsverk S. (Ankle Injury) Rijkhoff J. (Knee Injury) Traore B. (Health problems) Weghorst W. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Ajax: van Axel Dongen A. (Knock)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SK Slavia Prague
Czech 1 Liga
29.09.24	Bohemians 1905 - Slavia Prague	0:4 ✺
UEFA Europa League
25.09.24	Ludogorets Razgrad - Slavia Prague	0:2 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
21.09.24	Slavia Prague - Viktoria Plzeň	3:0 ✺
17.09.24	Mladá Boleslav - Slavia Prague	0:2 ✺
01.09.24	Slavia Prague - Pardubice	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWWWW
- Ajax Amsterdam
Dutch Eredivisie
29.09.24	Waalwijk - Ajax	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
26.09.24	Ajax - Beşiktaş	4:0 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
21.09.24	Go Ahead Eagles - Ajax	1:1 ✺
18.09.24	Ajax - Fortuna Sittard	5:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
29.08.24	Ajax - Jagiellonia Białystok	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWTWW

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