Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 7

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Lezama Facilities (Lezama) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Balle Reus L. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Spain	12:00	Footballclub


	Athletic Bilbao B		Real Unión de Irun

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.5	3.5
	1.95	3.40	3.10
	1.95	3.4	3.3
	2	3.55	3.32
	2	3.62	3.41	Watch
	1.96	3.4	3.2
	1.93	3.38	3.42
	1.96	3.5	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.08)	3.47 ↑ (3.33)	3.32 ↑ (3.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Athletic Bilbao B
46.5%

Draw
26.1%

Real Unión de Irun
27.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43.8%

27.3%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

27.1%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Athletic Bilbao B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Real Unión de Irun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Bilbao B than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Unión de Irun than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Athletic Bilbao B - Real Unión de Irun Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Santos M. (G) 2. Perez D. 27. Zarandona T. 5. Monreal I. (C) 28. El Arbaoui I. 23. Sola J. 8. Perez A. 11. Conde A. 16. Sanchez S. 22. Imga C. 17. Pecina A.	1. Tena J. (C) 2. Fontan J. 5. Martinez G. 4. Pola J. 3. Mateo A. 20. Martin A. 6. Gaubeka B. 23. Sangalli L. 7. Garcia U. 11. Galarza A. 19. Azkune E.
Substitutes
18. Belategi D. 32. Ellakuria E. 21. Garcia B. 1. Garcia S. (G) 7. Huestamendia P. 4. Izagirre Cestona A. 15. Larrea B. 6. Lete E. 19. Oyono I. 20. Vizcay T.	21. Albizua U. 8. Alvarez P. 10. Arruti M. 22. de la Mata J. 13. Emery L. (G) 26. Hussaini Muhammad M. 28. Mancisidor M. 9. Ruiz P. 32. Sanchez A.
Coaches
Bittor Llopis	Gil R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Zarandona T. ↓, Larrea B. ↑,
48', Fontan J. 🟨,
49', Gaubeka B. 🟨,
52', Azkune E. 🟨,
54', Imga C. 🟨,
58', Sanchez S. ↓, Lete E. ↑,
58', Conde A. ↓, Huestamendia P. ↑,
65', Azkune E. ↓, Hussaini Muhammad M. ↑,
69', Pecina A. ↓, Vizcay T. ↑,
78', Gaubeka B. ↓, Mancisidor M. ↑,
78', Garcia U. ↓, Albizua U. ↑,
84', Perez A. ↓, Garcia B. ↑,
87', Martinez G. ↓, Alvarez P. ↑,
87', Martin A. ↓, Sanchez A. ↑,

Preview

An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 4th in the Promotion - Primera RFEF - Promotion Play Offs and 9th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Athletic Bilbao B won 1.

Athletic Bilbao B has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Real Unión has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Real Unión could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Athletic Bilbao B holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Athletic Bilbao B has recorded 6 wins, 5 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 24:23 (averaging 1.2:1.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Athletic Bilbao B against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with 15:10 goals (averaging 1.7:1.1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	R. Union	9	3	4	2	19:14	5	13
11	Ath Bilbao B	9	3	3	3	14:12	2	12

Last Results with these Odds

Athletic Bilbao B - the odds 2.08 are the expected chance of winning is 43.76%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Athletic Bilbao B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
04.10.26	Athletic Bilbao B - CD Extremadura	1:3 ✺
26.09.26	Arenas Club de Getxo - Athletic Bilbao B	0:3 ✺
20.09.26	Athletic Bilbao B - Deportivo A Coruña B	2:2 ✺
12.09.26	Pontevedra - Athletic Bilbao B	1:3 ✺
06.09.26	Athletic Bilbao B - Real Avilés	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 LWTWW
- Real Unión de Irun
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
03.10.26	Real Unión de Irun - UD Ourense	1:1 ✺
26.09.26	Deportivo A Coruña B - Real Unión de Irun	2:0 ✺
19.09.26	Real Unión de Irun - Mirandés	2:2 ✺
13.09.26	Ferrol - Real Unión de Irun	3:2 ✺
05.09.26	Unionistas de Salamanca - Real Unión de Irun	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
24.05.25	Athletic Bilbao B - Real Unión de Irun	4:2
07.12.24	Real Unión de Irun - Athletic Bilbao B	3:1
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
22.04.23	Real Unión de Irun - Athletic Bilbao B	2:1
15.01.23	Athletic Bilbao B - Real Unión de Irun	0:1
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
16.04.22	Real Unión de Irun - Athletic Bilbao B	1:1
23.10.21	Athletic Bilbao B - Real Unión de Irun	0:0
Club Friendly
11.08.21	Real Unión de Irun - Athletic Bilbao B	0:2

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