Match Info

BRAZIL: Paranaense - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 8 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Ligga Arena (Curitiba)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, NSports, Sky+, Vivo Play
Usa	Fanatiz


	Athletico Paranaense		Azuriz

	1	X	2
	1.25	5	13
	1.22	5.25	10.5
	1.24	5.6	12
	1.23	5.3	11.16
	1.23	5.18	11.92	Watch
	1.22	5	13
	1.19	5.5	12.8	Watch
	1.24	5.6	12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.23)	5.3 ↓ (5.33)	12.05 ↓ (13.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Athletico Paranaense
75%

Draw
17.4%

Azuriz
7.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

75.8%

17.5%

6.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Athletico Paranaense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Azuriz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Athletico Paranaense - Azuriz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mycael (G) 45. Belezi 2. Dudu 5. Felipinho 4. Figueiredo T. 3. Leo 19. Luiz Fernando 17. Matheus Babi 31. Raul 7. Velasco K. 10. Zapelli B.	1. Vitor Hugo (G) 11. Augusto Galvan 13. Bruno 8. Cerezo 10. Edinho 6. Gabriel Lima 4. Lucas Adell 9. Matheus Guimaraes 15. Matheus Obina 22. Williams Bahia 5. Xavier
Substitutes
65. Arthur Dias 98. Falcao 6. Fernando 9. Gonzalo Mastriani 11. Isaac 57. Joao Cruz 61. Leo Derik 21. Leozinho 18. Palacios H. 88. Patrick 23. Santos (G) 30. Tevis	3. Ary Garcia 20. Daniel Dias 17. Felipe Dini 2. Julian I. 18. Marco Bustillo 16. Robinho 14. Samir 19. Samuel Costa 23. Yuri (G)
Coaches
Mauricio Barbieri	Martins Junior C. M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Lucas Adell (Own goal),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', Dudu ↓, Palacios H. ↑,
59', 2 - 0, Luiz Fernando ⚽,
64', 3 - 0, Luiz Fernando ⚽,
70', Edinho 🟨,
74', Zapelli B. ↓, Isaac ↑,
74', Felipinho ↓, Patrick ↑,
80', Patrick 🟨,
81', Leo ↓, Fernando ↑,
87', Matheus Guimaraes ↓, Marco Bustillo ↑,
90+1', Williams Bahia ↓, Ary Garcia ↑,
90+1', Edinho ↓, Robinho ↑,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-0.

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Paranaense (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Paranaense (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Athletico PR won 2.

Athletico PR is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Azuriz is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Azuriz could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Athletico PR have a series of guest games.

In this match Athletico PR is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Athletico PR won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:2 (average 1.2:0.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Athletico PR won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Athletico Paranaense
Copa do Brasil
25.02.25	Pouso Alegre - Athletico Paranaense	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
21.02.25	Azuriz - Athletico Paranaense	0:0 ✺
15.02.25	Londrina - Athletico Paranaense	0:1 ✺
12.02.25	Athletico Paranaense - FC Cascavel	0:0 ✺
09.02.25	Maringá - Athletico Paranaense	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WTWTW
- Azuriz FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
21.02.25	Azuriz - Athletico Paranaense	0:0 ✺
15.02.25	Azuriz - Cianorte	2:0 ✺
12.02.25	Maringá - Azuriz	3:0 ✺
08.02.25	Azuriz - Coritiba	0:2 ✺
05.02.25	Londrina - Azuriz	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
21.02.25	Azuriz - Athletico Paranaense	0:0
18.01.25	Azuriz - Athletico Paranaense	1:0
21.01.24	Azuriz - Athletico Paranaense	0:0
01.02.23	Athletico Paranaense - Azuriz	5:0
13.02.22	Azuriz - Athletico Paranaense	0:2
03.05.21	Azuriz - Athletico Paranaense	1:0

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