Match Info

BRAZIL: Copa Betano do Brasil - 1/64-finals

Date: 25 February 2025, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Do Manduzao (Pouso Alegre)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video


	Pouso Alegre		Athletico Paranaense

	1	X	2
	7.5	3.6	1.5
	6	3.55	1.53
	8.27	3.7	1.52
	7.02	3.52	1.57	Watch
	6	3.7	1.55
	6.15	3.88	1.55
	6	3.55	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.71 ↓ (7.19)	3.64 ↓ (4.53)	1.54 ↑ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pouso Alegre
13.9%

Draw
25.5%

Athletico Paranaense
60.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13%

20.6%

66.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.5%

19.9%

68.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pouso Alegre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Athletico Paranaense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Athletico Paranaense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pouso Alegre than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Athletico Paranaense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	20%	40%

Pouso Alegre - Athletico Paranaense Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Pouso Alegre will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Athletico PR will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Filipe 7. Caicedo J. 13. Da Silva 5. Felipe Moreira 16. Guilherme Aguiar 19. Magno (C) 20. Maxuel 10. Ray Breno 4. Samuel 8. Sandro Rios 3. Victao	1. Mycael (G) 2. Dudu 5. Felipinho 6. Fernando 4. Figueiredo T. 9. Gonzalo Mastriani 3. Leo 19. Luiz Fernando 31. Raul 7. Velasco K. 10. Zapelli B.
Substitutes
1. Adilson Junior (G) 14. Braga 26. Felipe (G) 11. Foguinho 23. Gabriel Falcao 15. Guilherme Buscarioli 17. Italo Henrique 21. Joao Marcos 6. Jonathan 18. Martinez F. 22. Rafael Vaz 9. Thaileon	65. Arthur Dias 45. Belezi 98. Falcao 11. Isaac 57. Joao Cruz 21. Leozinho 17. Matheus Babi 22. Matheus Felipe 18. Palacios H. 88. Patrick 23. Santos (G) 30. Tevis

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Luiz Fernando ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Samuel ↓, Italo Henrique ↑,
46', Dudu ↓, Palacios H. ↑,
53', Raul 🟨,
61', Palacios H. 🟨,
63', Gonzalo Mastriani ↓, Isaac ↑,
63', Felipinho ↓, Patrick ↑,
65', Maxuel ↓, Thaileon ↑,
65', Magno ↓, Gabriel Falcao ↑,
74', 0 - 2, Velasco K. ⚽,
75', Zapelli B. ↓, Joao Cruz ↑,
79', Guilherme Aguiar ↓, Jonathan ↑,
87', Raul ↓, Falcao ↑,

Preview

Recent matches Pouso Alegre is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Athletico PR is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Pouso Alegre could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Athletico PR is absolute favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pouso Alegre FC
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
12.02.25	Pouso Alegre - Uberlândia	2:1 ✺
08.02.25	Itabirito - Pouso Alegre	1:0 ✺
05.02.25	Pouso Alegre - Betim	0:2 ✺
02.02.25	Democrata GV - Pouso Alegre	2:4 ✺
29.01.25	Tombense - Pouso Alegre	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 WLLWT
- Athletico Paranaense
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
21.02.25	Azuriz - Athletico Paranaense	0:0 ✺
15.02.25	Londrina - Athletico Paranaense	0:1 ✺
12.02.25	Athletico Paranaense - FC Cascavel	0:0 ✺
09.02.25	Maringá - Athletico Paranaense	2:3 ✺
06.02.25	Athletico Paranaense - São-Joseense	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TWTWW

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