Match Info

Serie B Superbet - Round 5

Date: 24 April 2025, Thursday

Location: Estadio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi (Novo Horizonte)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
World	Disney+


	Grêmio Novorizontino		Athletico Paranaense

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.88	3.6	Watch
	2.3	3	2.95
	2.36	2.8	3.5
	2.38	2.81	3.86
	2.38	2.75	3.55	Watch
	2.45	3	3
	2.28	2.85	3.57	Watch
	2.36	2.8	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↓ (2.63)	2.86 ↓ (3.23)	3.44 ↑ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grêmio Novorizontino
39.9%

Draw
32.8%

Athletico Paranaense
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

28.9%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8%

29.1%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grêmio Novorizontino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Athletico Paranaense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Athletico Paranaense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Athletico Paranaense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Grêmio Novorizontino - Athletico Paranaense Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 5 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Novorizontino could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in Novorizontino: Airton (Inactive) Cesar Martins (Injury) Vitinho (Inactive) Willian Farias (Inactive)

There will not play in Athletico PR: Dudu Kogitzki (Inactive) Julimar (Knee Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grêmio Novorizontino
Brazilian Serie B
21.04.25	Grêmio Novorizontino - Criciúma	1:1 ✺
16.04.25	Coritiba - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:0 ✺
12.04.25	Grêmio Novorizontino - Volta Redonda	1:0 ✺
06.04.25	Avaí - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
22.03.25	Botafogo RJ - Grêmio Novorizontino	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TTWTL
- Athletico Paranaense
Brazilian Serie B
20.04.25	Athletico Paranaense - CRB Maceio	2:0 ✺
15.04.25	Cuiabá - Athletico Paranaense	2:1 ✺
10.04.25	Athletico Paranaense - Criciúma	2:1 ✺
04.04.25	Paysandu - Athletico Paranaense	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
19.03.25	Athletico Paranaense - Maringá	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLWWL

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