Match Info

Date: 30 September 2021, Thursday


	Athletico Paranaense		Peñarol de Montevideo

	1	X	2
	2.15	3	3.8	Watch
	2.15	3.2	3.3
	2.15	3.1	3.25
	2.1	3.1	3.55
	2.14	3.35	3.59
	2.1	3.1	3.5	Watch
	2.17	3.24	3.56	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (1.9)	3.16 ↓ (3.19)	3.51 ↓ (3.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

Watch this match and Copa Sudamericana with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: beIN SPORTS En Espa√±ol (Canada)

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Athletico Paranaense
43.7%

Draw
29.6%

Peñarol de Montevideo
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48%

28.5%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62%

22.1%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Athletico Paranaense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Peñarol de Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (+18.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Athletico Paranaense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peñarol de Montevideo than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Peñarol de Montevideo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Athletico Paranaense - Peñarol de Montevideo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-1.

Athletico PR is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Peñarol is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Athletico PR will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Athletico PR won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Athletico PR won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Athletico Paranaense
Brazilian Serie A
26.09.21	Athletico Paranaense - Grêmio	4:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
23.09.21	Peñarol de Montevideo - Athletico Paranaense	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
18.09.21	Athletico Paranaense - Juventude	2:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
14.09.21	Santos - Athletico Paranaense	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
11.09.21	América Mineiro - Athletico Paranaense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 WWWWL
- Peñarol de Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
26.09.21	Boston River - Peñarol de Montevideo	2:5 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
23.09.21	Peñarol de Montevideo - Athletico Paranaense	1:2 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
17.09.21	Peñarol de Montevideo - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	0:0 ✺
12.09.21	Plaza Colonia - Peñarol de Montevideo	1:2 ✺
22.08.21	Sud América - Peñarol de Montevideo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
23.09.21	Peñarol de Montevideo - Athletico Paranaense	1:2
Copa Libertadores
20.10.20	Peñarol de Montevideo - Athletico Paranaense	3:2
03.03.20	Athletico Paranaense - Peñarol de Montevideo	1:0
Copa Sudamericana
07.08.18	Peñarol de Montevideo - Athletico Paranaense	1:4
26.07.18	Athletico Paranaense - Peñarol de Montevideo	2:0

Upcoming Matches