Match Info

COLOMBIA: Copa Colombia - 1/32-finals

Date: 10 April 2024, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Alfonso Lopez (Bucaramanga)


	Atlético Bucaramanga		Patriotas

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.75	11	Watch
	1.29	4.6	8.5
	1.3	4.75	10	Watch
	1.3	4.9	11.9
	1.3	4.75	11.9
	1.25	4.6	11
	1.28	4.69	9.95	Watch
	1.31	4.6	9.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.65)	4.71 ↑ (3.45)	10.48 ↑ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Bucaramanga
71.5%

Draw
19.7%

Patriotas
8.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

26.4%

18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.5%

24.5%

16.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Bucaramanga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Bucaramanga's performance.

Patriotas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Patriotas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Bucaramanga than the current prediction. (-12%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Bucaramanga that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Patriotas than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Patriotas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Atlético Bucaramanga - Patriotas Predictions

Users Predictions: Atlético Bucaramanga will win (13 of 13 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Cordoba Mosquera J. E. ⚽,
14', 2 - 0, Martinez M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
73', 3 - 0, Martinez M. ⚽,

Preview

1st leg.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bucaramanga won 3.

Bucaramanga in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Patriotas is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bucaramanga could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Bucaramanga is absolute favorite.

Our prediction for today's Bucaramanga to win the game is with odds 1.32.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Bucaramanga won 6 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 19-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Bucaramanga won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Bucaramanga
Colombian Primera A
06.04.24	Atlético Bucaramanga - Deportivo Cali	2:1 ✺
31.03.24	Deportivo Pereira - Atlético Bucaramanga	1:2 ✺
27.03.24	Atlético Bucaramanga - Rionegro Águilas	1:0 ✺
24.03.24	Atlético Bucaramanga - Envigado	3:1 ✺
Colombian Copa
20.03.24	Real Santander - Atlético Bucaramanga	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 WWWWW
- Patriotas FC
Colombian Primera A
07.04.24	Patriotas - Alianza Valledupar	0:0 ✺
31.03.24	Independiente Santa Fe - Patriotas	3:0 ✺
22.03.24	Patriotas - Junior Barranquilla	1:0 ✺
17.03.24	Deportivo Cali - Patriotas	0:1 ✺
10.03.24	Patriotas - Deportivo Pereira	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
03.03.24	Atlético Bucaramanga - Patriotas	3:0
23.10.22	Patriotas - Atlético Bucaramanga	3:4
07.05.22	Atlético Bucaramanga - Patriotas	1:1
18.07.21	Patriotas - Atlético Bucaramanga	0:2
05.04.21	Atlético Bucaramanga - Patriotas	0:1
26.09.20	Atlético Bucaramanga - Patriotas	1:1
25.08.19	Patriotas - Atlético Bucaramanga	0:1

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