Match Info
Copa Colombia - First stage - Round 1Date: 7 May 2026, ThursdayLocation: Estadio Américo Montanini (Bucaramanga)
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Atlético Bucaramanga |
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Real Santander |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Atlético Bucaramanga
73.8% | Draw
18.7% | Real Santander
7.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Bucaramanga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)Real Santander has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Bucaramanga than the current prediction. (-36%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Bucaramanga that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Santander than the current prediction. (+10.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Santander could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Bucaramanga will win (votes: 3 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 19', 1 - 0, Caicedo B. ⚽,
- 35', 2 - 0, Caicedo B. ⚽,
- 39', 3 - 0, Batalla E. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 77', 4 - 0, Batalla E. ⚽,
- 80', 5 - 0, Londono K. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bucaramanga won 4.Bucaramanga is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).Real Santander has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).Real Santander may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, Bucaramanga is the undisputed favorite.In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Bucaramanga won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 23:11. (average 2.1:1).Including home matches between the teams, Bucaramanga won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 12:6. (average 2.4:1.2).
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Colombian Copa | | | 20.03.24 | Real Santander - Atlético Bucaramanga | 3:4 | | 07.03.24 | Atlético Bucaramanga - Real Santander | 6:2 | | 03.05.17 | Real Santander - Atlético Bucaramanga | 0:4 | | 15.03.17 | Atlético Bucaramanga - Real Santander | 3:1 | | 04.05.16 | Atlético Bucaramanga - Real Santander | 2:2 | | 10.02.16 | Real Santander - Atlético Bucaramanga | 1:0 | | Colombian Primera B | | | 11.10.15 | Real Santander - Atlético Bucaramanga | 0:2 |
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