Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE B - ROUND 31

Date: 6 October 2023, Friday

Location: Estádio Antonio Accioly (Goiânia)

Referee: Policarpo Bento A. (Bra)


	Atlético Goianiense		Ituano

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.63	3.5	5
	1.66	3.6	5.5	Watch
	1.66	3.74	6.02
	1.65	3.4	5.5
	1.65	3.72	5.35	Watch
	1.64	3.6	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.68)	3.59 ↑ (3.36)	5.43 ↓ (5.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Goianiense
56.7%

Draw
26%

Ituano
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.5%

27.8%

16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.9%

27.1%

16.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Goianiense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Ituano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Goianiense than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ituano than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	10%	0%

Atlético Goianiense - Ituano Predictions

Users Predictions: Atlético Goianiense will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ronaldo Strada (C) 2. Bruno Tubarao 3. Luiz Felipe 4. Heron 6. Igor Ribeiro 8. Baralhas 5. Rhaldney 10. Shaylon 11. Luiz Fernando 9. Gustavo Coutinho 7. Kelvin	12. Jefferson Paulino (G) 2. Pacheco 4. Rafael Pereira (C) 3. Claudinho 6. Mario Sergio 5. Vinicius Balieiro 8. Martha 10. Yann Rolim 7. Wesley Pombo 9. Quirino 11. Felipe Saraiva
Substitutes
21. Airton 20. Daniel Lima 12. Diego Loureiro (G) 19. Dodo 15. Guilherme Bastos 14. Lucas Gazal 17. Marcos Serrato 18. Matheus Peixoto 22. Matheus Regis 16. Renato 13. Rodrigo Soares	1. Deivity (G) 20. Eduardo Person 21. Emerson Urso 15. Frazan 17. Helio Borges 13. Iury 16. Lucas Siqueira 23. Matheus Aluisio 19. Matheus Cadorini 14. Pedro J. 22. Rafael Carvalheira 18. Thiaguinho
Coaches
Ventura J.	Marcinho

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 6 and 13).

Atlético GO is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Ituano is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Atlético GO is a favorite.

There will not play in Ituano: Bruno Xavier (Injury) Davi Araujo (Injury) Jonathan Vieira (Injury) Madison (Injury) Marcel Scalese (Red Card) Neto Berola (Injury) Thiaguinho (Injury)

Our prediction for today's Atlético GO to win the game is with odds 1.65.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Atlético GO won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Goianiense
Brazilian Serie B
01.10.23	Ceará - Atlético Goianiense	0:1 ✺
22.09.23	Atlético Goianiense - Criciúma	3:1 ✺
16.09.23	Botafogo SP - Atlético Goianiense	1:0 ✺
10.09.23	Atlético Goianiense - Juventude	3:0 ✺
02.09.23	Avaí - Atlético Goianiense	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WWLWW
- Ituano
Brazilian Serie B
30.09.23	Ituano - Botafogo SP	1:1 ✺
22.09.23	Ituano - Vitória Salvador	0:2 ✺
14.09.23	Londrina - Ituano	2:2 ✺
08.09.23	Ituano - Vila Nova	1:2 ✺
30.08.23	Grêmio Novorizontino - Ituano	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
10.06.23	Ituano - Atlético Goianiense	1:1

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