Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE B - ROUND 28

Date: 14 September 2023, Thursday

Location: Estádio do Café (Londrina)

Referee: Ribeiro Serafim D. (Bra)


	Londrina		Ituano

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.45	2.75	3.15
	2.53	2.85	3.5
	2.3	2.8	3
	2.39	3.02	3.24	Watch
	2.38	2.85	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↓ (2.58)	2.85 ↓ (3)	3.23 ↑ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Londrina
38.6%

Draw
32.6%

Ituano
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

31.3%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

31.8%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Londrina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Ituano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Londrina than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ituano than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Londrina - Ituano Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Londrina will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Ituano will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Neneca (G) 2. Ezequiel 4. Gabriel 22. Rafael Vaz 6. Marcos Pedro 5. Joao Paulo (C) 8. Moises Gaucho 7. Paulinho Moccelin 10. Ariel 9. William Barbio 11. Iago Dias	12. Jefferson Paulino (G) 2. Rhuan 3. Claudinho 4. Marcel Scalese 6. Mario Sergio 5. Jose Aldo 8. Rafael Carvalheira 10. Yann Rolim 11. Helio Borges 9. Matheus Cadorini 7. Wesley Pombo
Substitutes
3. Arthur Felix 21. Brandao 23. Bravo Fernandez M. 17. Everton 16. Franca I. 13. Garraty 15. Gustavo Salomao 14. Lauan 12. Lucas Frigeri (G) 20. Peu 18. Rodrigo Alves 19. Ze Vitor	20. Clemente K. 1. Deivity (G) 21. Emerson Urso 17. Felipe Fonseca 16. Lucas Siqueira 18. Martha 22. Matheus Aluisio 13. Pacheco 15. Pedro J. 19. Quirino 14. Rafael Pereira
Coaches
Teixeira da Fonseca R.	Marcinho

Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 13).

Londrina has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Ituano is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ituano could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

There will not play in Londrina: Jonas (Injury)

There will not play in Ituano: Bruno Xavier (Injury) Eduardo Person (Injury) Jonathan Vieira (Injury) Madison (Injury) Neto Berola (Injury) Thiaguinho (Injury)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Londrina won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Londrina won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Londrina EC
Brazilian Serie B
06.09.23	Ceará - Londrina	3:1 ✺
01.09.23	Londrina - Tombense	1:1 ✺
25.08.23	Ponte Preta - Londrina	1:0 ✺
17.08.23	Londrina - Atlético Goianiense	0:2 ✺
12.08.23	Criciúma - Londrina	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LTLLL
- Ituano
Brazilian Serie B
08.09.23	Ituano - Vila Nova	1:2 ✺
30.08.23	Grêmio Novorizontino - Ituano	2:0 ✺
25.08.23	Sport Recife - Ituano	1:2 ✺
19.08.23	Ituano - Criciúma	3:0 ✺
14.08.23	ABC - Ituano	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 LLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
27.05.23	Ituano - Londrina	3:1
28.10.22	Londrina - Ituano	0:2
16.07.22	Ituano - Londrina	0:0
Brazilian Serie C
25.10.20	Londrina - Ituano	1:0
23.08.20	Ituano - Londrina	1:1

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