Match Info

PERU: Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 3

Date: 25 June 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Mansiche (Trujillo)

Referee: Alarcon J. (Per)


	Atlético Grau		Universitario de Deportes

	1	X	2
	6.5	3.4	1.62	Watch
	5	3.1	1.66
	3.75	2.98	2.18	Watch
	5.95	3.45	1.59
	3.78	2.96	2.16	Watch
	5	3.25	1.7
	6.48	3.58	1.65	Watch
	3.75	2.98	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.03 ↑ (3.5)	3.21 ↑ (3.02)	1.84 ↓ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Grau
18.9%

Draw
29.6%

Universitario de Deportes
51.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27%

31.2%

41.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Grau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Grau's form might have worsened.

Universitario de Deportes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Universitario de Deportes's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.4%	7.1%	71.4%

Atlético Grau - Universitario de Deportes Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Grau will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Uni de Deportes will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Uni de Deportes: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Uni de Deportes (2.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Universitario de Deportes will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Uni de Deportes (votes: 7 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Alvarez P. (G) 15. Rostaing J. 27. Tapia R. 13. Franco D. (C) 6. Rodas E. 28. Solis A. 5. Guarderas R. 7. Garro J. 25. Vilca R. 24. Olivares C. 99. Ruidiaz R.	1. Britos S. (G) 29. Corzo A. (C) 3. Riveros W. 5. Di Benedetto M. 18. Urena R. 24. Polo A. 16. Perez M. 17. Concha J. 33. Inga C. 20. Valera A. 11. Rivera J.
Substitutes
11. Bandiera N. 2. Cavagna F. 10. de la Cruz P. 16. F. Rojas 12. Fuentes A. (G) 29. Garcia B. 17. Reyes J. 9. Sandoval T. 20. Vasquez A.	10. Calcaterra H. 27. Carabali J. 8. Costa G. 55. Dulanto G. 19. Flores E. 23. Murrugarra J. 14. Reyna P. 25. Vargas M. (G) 7. Velez J.
Coaches
Comizzo A.	Fossati J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Valera A. (Pen),
45+8', Rivera J. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Vilca R. ↓, de la Cruz P. ↑,
57', 0 - 2, Valera A. (Pen),
65', Rivera J. 🟨,
66', Rivera J. ↓, Flores E. ↑,
71', Di Benedetto M. 🟨,
71', Guarderas R. 🟨,
74', Di Benedetto M. ↓, Murrugarra J. ↑,
74', Perez M. ↓, Carabali J. ↑,
78', Olivares C. ↓, Sandoval T. ↑,
84', Corzo A. ↓, Dulanto G. ↑,
84', Urena R. ↓, Velez J. ↑,
85', Garro J. ↓, Vasquez A. ↑,
90', Velez J. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Grau won 0.

Recent matches Uni de Deportes is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Uni de Deportes could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Uni de Deportes will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Grau won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 5:13 (average 0.6:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Grau won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:4 (average 1:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Grau
Peruvian Liga 1
19.06.25	Atlético Grau - Cusco	0:0 ✺
13.06.25	Cajamarca - Atlético Grau	0:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
29.05.25	Godoy Cruz - Atlético Grau	2:2 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
24.05.25	Atlético Grau - Escuela Municipal Binacional	3:0 ✺
18.05.25	FBC Melgar - Atlético Grau	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.3 TWTWT
- Universitario de Deportes
Peruvian Liga 1
20.06.25	Universitario de Deportes - ADT Tarma	5:0 ✺
15.06.25	Ayacucho - Universitario de Deportes	0:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
27.05.25	River Plate - Universitario de Deportes	1:1 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
22.05.25	Universitario de Deportes - Sporting Cristal	2:0 ✺
18.05.25	Juan Pablo II College - Universitario de Deportes	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
21.07.24	Atlético Grau - Universitario de Deportes	1:1
03.02.24	Universitario de Deportes - Atlético Grau	1:0
27.08.23	Atlético Grau - Universitario de Deportes	2:2
09.04.23	Universitario de Deportes - Atlético Grau	2:1
17.09.22	Universitario de Deportes - Atlético Grau	2:0
01.05.22	Atlético Grau - Universitario de Deportes	0:1
24.10.20	Universitario de Deportes - Atlético Grau	2:1

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