Match Info

LaLiga - Round 6

Date: 16 September 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Metropolitano Stadium (Madrid) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Maeso F. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 4, CANAL+ Sport 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Maximo 3
Albania	19:00	SuperSport 1
Argentina	14:00	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	21:00	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Australia	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Austria	19:00	DAZN
Azerbaijan	21:00	Setanta Sports 2
Bangladesh	23:00	Begin
Belarus	20:00	Belarus 5
Belgium	19:00	DAZN 1
Bolivia	13:00	ESPN
Bulgaria	20:00	Max Sport 4
China	01:00	Migu
Colombia	12:00	ESPN
Croatia	19:00	SportKlub 1
Czech Republic	19:00	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	19:00	Disney+
Ecuador	12:00	ESPN
Estonia	20:00	Go3 Extra Sports
Europe	—	Go3 Sport 1 Baltic, Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	20:00	Disney+
France	19:00	DAZN France, Disney+
Georgia	21:00	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	19:00	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch
Hong Kong	01:00	M Plus Live, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	19:00	TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	17:00	Disney+
India	22:30	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	00:00	beIN Connect, Vidio
Israel	20:00	ONE Sport
Italy	19:00	DAZN Italia
Japan	02:00	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	23:00	Setanta Sports 2
Kenya	20:00	Gotv
Kosovo	19:00	Arena Premium 2
Kyrgyzstan	23:00	Setanta Sports 2
Laos	00:00	beIN Connect
Lithuania	20:00	Go3 Extra Sports
Malaysia	01:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Maldives	22:00	Medianet
Malta	19:00	TSN Malta 4
Mexico	11:00	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Moldova	20:00	Setanta Sports 2
New Zealand	05:00	beIN Connect
Nigeria	18:00	SuperSport LaLiga, Supersport Maximo 1
North Central America	—	RUSH Sports 2 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Norway	19:00	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Paraguay	13:00	ESPN
Peru	12:00	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	01:00	beIN Connect
Portugal	18:00	DAZN 3, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	20:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV
Russia	20:00	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	19:00	Arena Premium 2
Singapore	01:00	beIN Sports 2
Slovakia	19:00	Nova Sport 3, Voyo
Slovenia	19:00	SportKlub 1
South Africa	19:00	SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga, Supersport Maximo 1
South America	—	ViX Latin America
South Korea	02:00	Coupang Play
Spain	19:00	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga
Sweden	19:00	Disney+
Switzerland	19:00	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	01:00	DAZN
Tajikistan	22:00	Setanta Sports 2
Thailand	00:00	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Turkey	20:00	S Sport
Turkmenistan	22:00	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	20:00	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	18:00	Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	14:00	Disney+
Usa	13:00	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Uzbekistan	22:00	Setanta Sports 2
Venezuela	13:00	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	00:00	ON Sport, SCTV 15, SCTV Online


	Atlético Madrid		Osasuna

	1	X	2
	1.30	5.50	10.00	Watch
	1.31	5.50	9.00
	1.33	5.10	9.50	Watch
	1.32	5.70	11.00
	1.4	5.14	8.34
	1.31	5.45	10.00
	1.31	5.55	10.10	Watch
	1.30	5.60	9.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.49)	5.44 ↑ (4.28)	9.62 ↑ (6.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Madrid
72.4%

Draw
17.6%

Osasuna
10%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

63.3%

22.1%

14.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66%

20.4%

13.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Madrid's performance.

Osasuna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Madrid that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Osasuna than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.5%	11.5%	1.9%

Atlético Madrid - Osasuna Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Atlético (1.47) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (1.66) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Atlético Madrid will win (44 of 50 users predict this - 88%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.99% – 97.01%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Atlético Madrid will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlético (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Oblak J. (G) 14. Llorente M. 21. Romero C. 24. Le Normand R. 22. Grimaldo A. 7. Lee Kang-In 6. Koke (C) 5. Cardoso J. 10. Baena A. 15. David J. 11. Lookman A.	13. Fernandez A. (C) 27. Arguibide I. 48. Yeboah R. 22. Boyomo F. 35. Santos U. 23. Bretones A. 21. Dubasin J. 29. Osambela A. 6. Torro L. 18. Moro R. 9. Garcia R.
Substitutes
46. Castillo J. 27. Dominguez J. 25. Esquivel S. (G) 17. Hancko D. 23. Hjulmand M. 30. Martinez D. 4. Mendoza R. 1. Musso J. (G) 16. Ortiz A. 18. Pubill M. 20. Simeone G. 3. Vargas O.	11. Barja K. 30. Bonel A. 17. Budimir A. 24. Catena A. 20. Del Castillo R. 26. Echegoyen M. 14. Garcia R. 1. Herrera S. (G) 7. Moncayola J. 8. Munoz I. 31. Rafa (G) 15. Rico D.
Coaches
Simeone D.	Ramis L. M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, David J. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
50', Lookman A. 🟨,
54', 2 - 0, Lee Kang-In ⚽, David J. (A),
59', Dubasin J. ↓, Barja K. ↑,
59', Moro R. ↓, Garcia R. ↑,
60', Garcia R. ↓, Budimir A. ↑,
63', 3 - 0, Le Normand R. ⚽,
68', Romero C. ↓, Pubill M. ↑,
68', David J. ↓, Simeone G. ↑,
68', Lookman A. ↓, Ortiz A. ↑,
71', Arguibide I. ↓, Moncayola J. ↑,
75', Osambela A. ↓, Del Castillo R. ↑,
82', 4 - 0, Baena A. ⚽, Cardoso J. (A),
85', Cardoso J. ↓, Hjulmand M. ↑,
85', Grimaldo A. ↓, Hancko D. ↑,
86', Garcia R. 🟨,
90+3', Bretones A. 🟨,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: ) and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Atlético may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Atlético has had a series of away games.

In this match, Atlético is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Atlético: Barrios P. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Osasuna: Gomez M. (Hamstring Injury) Herrando J. (Muscle Injury) Oroz A. (Muscle Injury) Rosier V. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Atlético: Alvarez J. (Muscle Injury) Esteban S. (Injury) Sorloth A. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlético won 17 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 40:14. (average 2:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlético won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:7. (average 1.9:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Atl. Madrid	10	8	1	1	20:8	12	25
13	Osasuna	10	3	2	5	10:20	-10	11

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now

Atl. Madrid: 6.38% Osasuna: 0.17%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Madrid
Spanish LaLiga
13.09.26	Real Sociedad - Atlético Madrid	0:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
09.09.26	Liverpool - Atlético Madrid	2:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
05.09.26	Athletic Bilbao - Atlético Madrid	3:0 ✺
29.08.26	Sevilla - Atlético Madrid	1:3 ✺
23.08.26	Atlético Madrid - Villarreal	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLLWT
- Osasuna
Spanish LaLiga
12.09.26	Osasuna - Espanyol	0:2 ✺
06.09.26	Deportivo Alavés - Osasuna	5:2 ✺
31.08.26	Osasuna - Getafe	1:0 ✺
27.08.26	Celta de Vigo - Osasuna	1:2 ✺
24.08.26	Osasuna - Levante	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
12.05.26	Osasuna - Atlético Madrid	1:2
18.10.25	Atlético Madrid - Osasuna	1:0
15.05.25	Osasuna - Atlético Madrid	2:0
12.01.25	Atlético Madrid - Osasuna	1:0
19.05.24	Atlético Madrid - Osasuna	1:4
28.09.23	Osasuna - Atlético Madrid	0:2
21.05.23	Atlético Madrid - Osasuna	3:0

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