#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+
Current Win Probability
Atlético Madrid B 48.4%
Draw 28.9%
Marbella 22.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
62.3%
23.4%
14.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
63.6%
22.9%
14%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Madrid B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Madrid B's form might have worsened.
Marbella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marbella's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Madrid B than the current prediction. (+15.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Madrid B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marbella than the current prediction. (-8.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marbella, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Atlético Madrid B - Marbella Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlético Madrid B (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
#ad
Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. de Luis M. (G) 28. Hueso R. 12. Spina G. 30. Cubo M. 19. Corral A. 7. Luque I. 18. Bellotti M. 6. Serrano J. (C) 22. Perovic M. 9. Llorente R. 23. Ortiz A.
1. Garcia M. (G) 2. Alvarez J. 15. Gabri 23. Escassi A. (C) 3. Martinez A. 20. Cambra J. 8. Eugeni 16. Ruiz A. 19. Ohemeng E. 9. Sanchez V. 24. Selma D.
Substitutes
8. Castillo J. 31. Coulibaly I. (G) 40. Dominguez J. 37. Grant C. 11. Koke 17. Monserrate J. 33. Morales L. (G) 38. Munoz D. 24. Najera R. 2. Parriego M. 27. Seidu T. 21. Sits D.
17. Alexiel 7. Awudu T. 34. Barrios F. (G) 14. Bujan U. 10. Gil A. 21. Llacer L. 22. Rodriguez J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
8', Corral A. 🟨,
13', Eugeni 🟨,
38', 0 - 1, Ruiz A. ⚽,
41', 1 - 1, Llorente R. ⚽,
45+3', 1 - 2, Escassi A. ⚽, Martinez A. (A),
2nd Half (4 - 2)
48', 1 - 3, Escassi A. ⚽, Eugeni (A),
50', 2 - 3, Serrano J. ⚽,
67', Perovic M. ↓, Castillo J. ↑,
68', Sanchez V. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
69', Ruiz A. 🟨,
71', 3 - 3, Corral A. ⚽,
76', 4 - 3, Cubo M. ⚽,
77', Gabri ↓, Awudu T. ↑,
80', 5 - 3, Bellotti M. ⚽,
82', Cubo M. ↓, Dominguez J. ↑,
84', Ruiz A. ↓, Gil A. ↑,
84', Cambra J. ↓, Alexiel ↑,
84', Martinez A. ↓, Llacer L. ↑,
88', Serrano J. ↓, Monserrate J. ↑,
88', Luque I. ↓, Koke ↑,
89', Ortiz A. ↓, Sits D. ↑,
90+2', 5 - 4, Alexiel ⚽, Eugeni (A),
90+2', 🟨,
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
Atlético Madrid B is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
In recent matches, Marbella has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, Atlético Madrid B is considered a favorite.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Atlético Madrid B won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).
Including home match between the teams, Atlético Madrid B won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.