The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atlético Mineiro 22.8%
Draw 27.4%
Flamengo 49.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27.8%
28.9%
43.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.3%
28.4%
44.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
Flamengo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Flamengo's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Flamengo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
22.2%
77.8%
Atlético Mineiro - Flamengo Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Flamengo will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Flamengo: 50.6% – 100%.
22. Everson (C) 2. Natanael 4. Ruan Tressoldi 14. Vitor Hugo 36. Pascini K. 11. Bernard 21. Franco A. 8. Maycon 28. Cuello 9. Cassierra M. 30. Victor Hugo
1. Rossi A. (G) 2. Varela G. 3. Leo Ortiz 4. Leo Pereira 26. Alex Sandro 21. Jorginho 52. Evertton Araujo 19. Plata G. 10. de Arrascaeta G. (C) 16. Samuel Lino 9. Pedro
Substitutes
5. Alexsander 6. Alonso J. 29. Caua 92. Dudu 1. Gabriel Delfim (G) 10. Gustavo Scarpa 17. Igor Gomes 13. Lyanco 27. Minda A. 25. Perez T. 23. Preciado A. 19. Reinier
6. Ayrton Lucas 27. Bruno Henrique 13. Danilo 42. da Silva Ventura A. (G) 49. Dyogo Alves (G) 22. Emerson Royal 11. Everton 7. Luiz Araujo 75. Mariano L. 8. Niguez S. 44. Vitao 64. Wallace Yan
Coaches
Dominguez E.
Jardim L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 3)
8', 0 - 1, Pedro ⚽, Samuel Lino (A),
26', Varela G. 🟨,
31', 0 - 2, Plata G. ⚽, Samuel Lino (A),
45+1', 0 - 3, de Arrascaeta G. ⚽, Varela G. (A),
45+3', Samuel Lino 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Bernard ↓, Minda A. ↑,
46', Franco A. ↓, Perez T. ↑,
48', Perez T. 🟨,
72', Samuel Lino ↓, Luiz Araujo ↑,
73', Jorginho ↓, Niguez S. ↑,
74', Maycon ↓, Gustavo Scarpa ↑,
74', Cuello ↓, Dudu ↑,
83', de Arrascaeta G. ↓, Bruno Henrique ↑,
83', Alex Sandro ↓, Ayrton Lucas ↑,
84', 0 - 4, Pedro ⚽, Evertton Araujo (A),
86', Leo Pereira ↓, Vitao ↑,
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 13 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético MG won 1.
Recent performances by Atlético MG have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Flamengo is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Flamengo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Flamengo might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Atlético MG: Lodi R.
(Red Card)
Patrick Silva
(Injury)
There will not play in Flamengo: Pulgar E.
(Inactive)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlético MG won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 25:24. (average 1.3:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Atlético MG won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:13. (average 1.8:1.3).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Flamengo RJ
29
18
7
4
57:25
32
61
7
Atletico-MG
29
12
8
9
39:34
5
44
Last Results with these Odds
Flamengo - the odds 2.13 are the expected chance of winning is 43.3%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Argentina
Brazil
Ecuador
Kosovo
Mexico
North-central-america
Paraguay
Portugal
Serbia
Spain
Uruguay
Usa
Watch
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Everson (C) 
Franco A. 
Cuello 
Cassierra M. 
Varela G. 
Jorginho 
Alonso J. 
Niguez S. 
Jardim L. 
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