Match Info

Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 1

Date: 8 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega (Cusco)

Referee: Lopez D. (Par)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, FOX Sports 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Bolivia	ESPN 7
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Caze TV, Paramount+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	beIN Connect
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 7
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Ecuador	ESPN 7
Georgia	Silk Universal
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Paraguay	ESPN 7
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 7
Poland	Polsat Sport 1
Portugal	Sport TV2
Spain	LaLiga+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 7, Inter
World	Onefootball


	Cusco		Flamengo

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.3	1.85	Watch
	4.25	3.35	1.85	Watch
	4.63	3.39	1.88
	4.76	3.5	1.8
	4.33	3.25	1.83	Watch
	4.63	3.46	1.86	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.52 ↓ (5.06)	3.38 ↓ (3.6)	1.85 ↑ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Cusco
20.9%

Draw
28%

Flamengo
51.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.6%

26.1%

55.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.9%

25.1%

57.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cusco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Flamengo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cusco than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Flamengo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	18.2%	72.7%

Cusco - Flamengo Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Cusco will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Flamengo will win (votes: 7 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Flamengo: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Flamengo (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Diaz P. (G) 24. Ruidias M. 8. Fuentes A. 6. Ampuero A. 15. Bolivar J. 22. Colitto L. 88. Soto D. 16. Valenzuela O. 26. Silva N. 27. Carabajal G. 9. Callejo F. (C)	1. Rossi A. (G) 22. Emerson Royal 13. Danilo 4. Leo Pereira 6. Ayrton Lucas 18. de la Cruz N. 52. Evertton Araujo 15. Carrascal J. 20. Lucas Paqueta 19. Plata G. 27. Bruno Henrique (C)
Substitutes
17. Ali Gutierrez J. D. 1. Anderson R. (G) 32. Astudillo J. 37. Choi G. 10. Colman I. 14. Diez C. 2. Gamarra C. 77. Herrera Joel 7. Manzaneda J. 11. Tevez J. 13. Vidal A. (G) 21. Zevallos J.	42. da Silva Ventura A. (G) 10. de Arrascaeta G. 49. Dyogo Alves (G) 47. Guilherme Gomes 3. Leo Ortiz 7. Luiz Araujo 75. Mariano L. 9. Pedro 16. Samuel Lino 2. Varela G. 44. Vitao 64. Wallace Yan
Coaches
Orfila A.	Jardim L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Fuentes A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
59', 0 - 1, Bruno Henrique ⚽, Ayrton Lucas (A),
60', Silva N. ↓, Herrera Joel ↑,
60', Colitto L. ↓, Manzaneda J. ↑,
61', Carabajal G. ↓, Tevez J. ↑,
71', Carrascal J. ↓, Luiz Araujo ↑,
81', Bolivar J. ↓, Zevallos J. ↑,
85', Soto D. ↓, Colman I. ↑,
85', de la Cruz N. ↓, Leo Ortiz ↑,
85', Bruno Henrique ↓, Pedro ↑,
85', Lucas Paqueta ↓, de Arrascaeta G. ↑,
88', Manzaneda J. 🟨,
90+2', 0 - 2, de Arrascaeta G. ⚽,

Preview

Cusco has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Flamengo is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Flamengo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Flamengo is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Cusco: Aucca M. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Flamengo: Alex Sandro (Injury) Niguez S. (Ankle Injury)

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Outrights of Copa Libertadores for now

Flamengo RJ: 20.78%

Last Results with these Odds

Flamengo - the odds 1.7 are the expected chance of winning is 55.34%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cusco FC
Peruvian Liga 1
04.04.26	FBC Melgar - Cusco	1:3 ✺
21.03.26	Moquegua - Cusco	1:2 ✺
15.03.26	Cusco - Cienciano	1:2 ✺
07.03.26	Cusco - Deportivo Garcilaso	1:0 ✺
01.03.26	Juan Pablo II College - Cusco	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WWLWL
- Flamengo RJ
Brazilian Serie A
05.04.26	Flamengo - Santos	3:1 ✺
02.04.26	Red Bull Bragantino - Flamengo	3:0 ✺
22.03.26	Corinthians - Flamengo	1:1 ✺
19.03.26	Flamengo - Remo	3:0 ✺
14.03.26	Botafogo RJ - Flamengo	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLTWW

Upcoming Matches