Match Info

Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 2

Date: 16 April 2026, Thursday

Location: Maracanã (Rio de Janeiro)

Referee: Matonte Cabrera A. M. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, FOX Sports 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Bolivia	ESPN 2, ESPN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Ecuador	ESPN
Israel	Sport 4
Italy	Como TV
Kosovo	Arena Premium 1
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Paraguay	ESPN 2, ESPN
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 2
Poland	Polsat Sport 1
Portugal	Sport TV1
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Spain	LaLiga+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter


	Flamengo		Independiente Medellín

	1	X	2
	1.18	6.5	17	Watch
	1.17	6.4	18.5	Watch
	1.18	7.55	17.32
	1.18	7.1	15.63
	1.17	6.5	15
	1.15	8.1	19	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.17 ↓ (1.22)	7.03 ↑ (5.54)	17.08 ↑ (13.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Flamengo
80.9%

Draw
13.5%

Independiente Medellín
5.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

76.1%

16.8%

7.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Flamengo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Independiente Medellín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	40%	0%

Flamengo - Independiente Medellín Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Flamengo will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Flamengo: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rossi A. (G) 22. Emerson Royal 13. Danilo 4. Leo Pereira 6. Ayrton Lucas 20. Lucas Paqueta 52. Evertton Araujo 15. Carrascal J. 10. de Arrascaeta G. 16. Samuel Lino 27. Bruno Henrique (C)	25. Chaux E. (G) 2. Chaverra L. 24. Ortiz J. 33. Londono D. 18. Fabra F. 26. Mena Perea E. 14. Perlaza B. 8. Serna A. 11. Yony Gonzalez 13. Chaverra F. 19. Fydriszewski F. (C)
Substitutes
26. Alex Sandro 42. da Silva Ventura A. (G) 18. de la Cruz N. 11. Everton 3. Leo Ortiz 7. Luiz Araujo 8. Niguez S. 9. Pedro 19. Plata G. 2. Varela G. 44. Vitao 64. Wallace Yan	3. Balanta M. 10. Catano D. 5. Escorcia L. 1. Ichazo S. (G) 16. Loboa H. 21. Mena J. 20. Montano J. 31. Moreno D. 30. Palacios H. 23. Palacios M. 45. Valdelamar A. 88. Viveros J.
Coaches
Jardim L.	Restrepo A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
15', 1 - 0, Lucas Paqueta ⚽, Ayrton Lucas (A),
40', 1 - 1, Yony Gonzalez ⚽, Serna A. (A),
45', 2 - 1, Bruno Henrique ⚽, de Arrascaeta G. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
48', Perlaza B. 🟨,
49', 3 - 1, de Arrascaeta G. ⚽, Bruno Henrique (A),
63', de Arrascaeta G. ↓, Plata G. ↑,
63', Samuel Lino ↓, Luiz Araujo ↑,
68', Mena Perea E. ↓, Palacios M. ↑,
68', Chaverra F. ↓, Catano D. ↑,
68', Perlaza B. ↓, Loboa H. ↑,
68', Yony Gonzalez ↓, Montano J. ↑,
70', Chaverra L. 🟨,
74', Luiz Araujo 🟨,
77', Lucas Paqueta ↓, Pedro ↑,
77', Bruno Henrique ↓, de la Cruz N. ↑,
83', Carrascal J. ↓, Wallace Yan ↑,
86', Catano D. 🟨,
86', Chaverra L. ↓, Moreno D. ↑,
90+6', 4 - 1, Pedro ⚽, Luiz Araujo (A),

Preview

Flamengo is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Ind Medellín has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Flamengo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Flamengo has had a series of away games.

In this match, Flamengo is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Flamengo: Everton (Inactive) Jorginho (Inactive) Niguez S. (Ankle Injury) Pulgar E. (Inactive)

There will not play in Ind Medellín: Ichazo S. (Inactive) Mantilla K. (Injury) Moreno D. (Inactive)

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Outrights of Copa Libertadores for now

Flamengo RJ: 20.78%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Flamengo RJ
Brazilian Serie A
12.04.26	Fluminense - Flamengo	1:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
08.04.26	Cusco - Flamengo	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
05.04.26	Flamengo - Santos	3:1 ✺
02.04.26	Red Bull Bragantino - Flamengo	3:0 ✺
22.03.26	Corinthians - Flamengo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWWLT
- Independiente Medellín
Colombian Primera A
11.04.26	Independiente Medellín - Atlético Nacional	2:3 ✺
Copa Libertadores
08.04.26	Independiente Medellín - Estudiantes La Plata	1:1 ✺
Colombian Primera A
02.04.26	Once Caldas - Independiente Medellín	1:1 ✺
30.03.26	Independiente Medellín - América de Cali	2:1 ✺
23.03.26	Independiente Santa Fe - Independiente Medellín	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LTTWL

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