Match Info

Serie A Betano - Round 12

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio Couto Pereira (Curitiba)

Referee: Mendes F. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping
Ecuador	Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
Usa	Fanatiz


	Coritiba		Atlético Mineiro

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.2	3.25	Watch
	2.32	3.05	3.2	Watch
	2.37	3.23	3.37
	2.33	3.23	3.25	Watch
	2.3	3	3
	2.39	3.21	3.21	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.49)	3.15 ↑ (2.95)	3.21 ↑ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Coritiba
40.5%

Draw
30%

Atlético Mineiro
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

31.2%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

31.3%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Coritiba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Atlético Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coritiba than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Coritiba - Atlético Mineiro Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Coritiba will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Pedro Rangel (G) 2. Tinga 3. Maicon 55. Jacy 26. Bruno Melo 36. Vini Paulista 19. Gomez S. (C) 11. Lucas Ronier 10. Josue 77. Breno Lopes 32. Pedro Rocha	22. Everson (G) 2. Natanael 4. Ruan Tressoldi 13. Lyanco 16. Lodi R. 30. Victor Hugo 21. Franco A. 8. Maycon 28. Cuello 7. Hulk (C) 19. Reinier
Substitutes
33. Alves D. 14. Enzo Vagner 28. Fabinho 6. Felipe Jonatan 88. Fernando Sobral 44. Joao Pedro Chermont 13. Keiller (G) 7. Lavega J. 78. Renato Marques 21. Thiago Santos 23. Tiago Coser 29. Willian Oliveira	5. Alexsander 6. Alonso J. 11. Bernard 9. Cassierra M. 39. Cisse M. 92. Dudu 1. Gabriel Delfim (G) 10. Gustavo Scarpa 17. Igor Gomes 25. Perez T. 23. Preciado A. 14. Vitor Hugo
Coaches
Fernando Seabra	Dominguez E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Breno Lopes ⚽,
34', Bruno Melo ↓, Felipe Jonatan ↑,
45+2', Gomez S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', Breno Lopes ↓, Lavega J. ↑,
58', Josue ↓, Thiago Santos ↑,
58', 2 - 0, Pedro Rocha ⚽,
65', Lyanco 🟨,
66', Natanael ↓, Dudu ↑,
66', Maycon ↓, Cisse M. ↑,
72', Hulk ↓, Cassierra M. ↑,
84', Reinier ↓, Bernard ↑,
84', Cuello ↓, Preciado A. ↑,
86', Pedro Rocha ↓, Renato Marques ↑,
86', Vini Paulista ↓, Tiago Coser ↑,
88', Thiago Santos 🟨,
90', Renato Marques 🟥,
90', Lodi R. 🟥,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Coritiba won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Coritiba may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Coritiba: Gustavo (Injury) Keno (Inactive) Pedro Morisco (Shoulder Injury) Rodrigo Rodrigues (Ankle Injury) Wallisson (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Atlético MG: Indio (Knee Injury) Minda A. (Muscle Injury) Patrick Silva (Inactive)

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Coritiba won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 13:26. (average 0.7:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Coritiba won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 0.7:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Atletico-MG	29	12	8	9	39:34	5	44
9	Coritiba	29	10	8	11	37:47	-10	38

Last Results with these Odds

Atlético Mineiro - the odds 2.91 are the expected chance of winning is 31.71%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Coritiba
Brazilian Serie A
12.04.26	Botafogo RJ - Coritiba	2:2 ✺
04.04.26	Coritiba - Fluminense	1:1 ✺
01.04.26	Coritiba - Vasco da Gama	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Athletico Paranaense - Coritiba	2:0 ✺
18.03.26	Mirassol - Coritiba	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 TTTLW
- Atlético Mineiro
Copa Sudamericana
16.04.26	Atlético Mineiro - Juventud de Las Piedras	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
11.04.26	Santos - Atlético Mineiro	1:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
08.04.26	Academia Puerto Cabello - Atlético Mineiro	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
05.04.26	Atlético Mineiro - Athletico Paranaense	2:1 ✺
02.04.26	Chapecoense - Atlético Mineiro	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
08.10.23	Atlético Mineiro - Coritiba	1:2
20.05.23	Coritiba - Atlético Mineiro	1:2
14.08.22	Coritiba - Atlético Mineiro	0:1
23.04.22	Atlético Mineiro - Coritiba	2:2
26.12.20	Atlético Mineiro - Coritiba	2:0
06.09.20	Coritiba - Atlético Mineiro	0:1
19.11.17	Atlético Mineiro - Coritiba	3:0

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