Match Info

Primera A - Apertura - Round 11

Date: 13 March 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Atanasio Girardot (Medellín)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fubo Latino 2


	Atlético Nacional		Llaneros SA

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.75	8.5	Watch
	1.35	4.7	8.8
	1.35	5	9.78
	1.31	5.07	9.94
	1.33	4.6	9
	1.34	4.79	8.57	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↑ (1.31)	4.82 ↑ (4.71)	9.1 ↓ (10.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Nacional
70.2%

Draw
19.5%

Llaneros SA
10.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

71.3%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Llaneros SA has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Atlético Nacional - Llaneros SA Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Atlético Nacional will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ospina D. (C) 6. Roman A. 28. Garcia S. 16. Tesillo W. 33. Velasquez S. 8. Uribe M. 21. Campuzano J. 13. Rodriguez N. 19. Rengifo J. 7. Moreno M. 9. Morelos A.	1. Ortega M. (G) 4. Pertuz J. 23. Moralez A. 21. Meza F. (C) 94. Medranda J. 77. Rincon K. 95. Jhon Vasquez 8. Ramirez J. 33. Kelvin Osorio 9. Cortes C. 15. Blanco J.
Substitutes
27. Asprilla D. 30. Bauza J. 18. Bello E. 10. Cardona E. 15. Castillo H. (G) 36. Correa R. 4. Haydar C. 14. Marin F. 29. Sarmiento A.	16. Escobar Salcedo J. 14. Laszo E. 19. Mantilla D. 7. Miranda L. 10. Ospina N. 29. Riascos L. 22. Romana Garavito R. (G)
Coaches
Arias D.	Garcia J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Uribe M. ⚽, Rodriguez N. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Rodriguez N. ↓, Bello E. ↑,
46', Moreno M. ↓, Sarmiento A. ↑,
46', Medranda J. ↓, Escobar Salcedo J. ↑,
62', Moralez A. ↓, Riascos L. ↑,
62', Blanco J. ↓, Ospina N. ↑,
67', Morelos A. ↓, Asprilla D. ↑,
67', Ramirez J. ↓, Miranda L. ↑,
72', 2 - 0, Bello E. (Penalty Awarded),
73', Rengifo J. ↓, Cardona E. ↑,
74', Kelvin Osorio ↓, Mantilla D. ↑,
75', Mantilla D. 🟨,
77', Cardona E. 🟨,
82', Uribe M. ↓, Bauza J. ↑,
90+2', Riascos L. 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: ) and 10).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Llaneros SA may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Atlético Nacional has had a series of away games.

Recently, Llaneros SA has had a series of home games.

In this match, Atlético Nacional is the obvious favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Atlético Nacional won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Atlético Nacional won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Atl. Nacional	13	8	2	3	25:12	13	26
13	Llaneros	15	5	2	8	16:20	-4	17

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Nacional Medellin
Colombian Primera A
10.03.26	Junior Barranquilla - Atlético Nacional	0:4 ✺
07.03.26	Rionegro Águilas - Atlético Nacional	1:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
04.03.26	Atlético Nacional - Millonarios	1:3 ✺
Colombian Primera A
01.03.26	Deportes Tolima - Atlético Nacional	1:0 ✺
25.02.26	Independiente Santa Fe - Atlético Nacional	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWLLW
- Llaneros Fútbol Club SA
Colombian Primera A
09.03.26	Llaneros SA - Jaguares de Córdoba	2:0 ✺
05.03.26	Llaneros SA - Inter Bogotá	1:1 ✺
20.02.26	Llaneros SA - Independiente Medellín	2:2 ✺
14.02.26	Millonarios - Llaneros SA	2:1 ✺
10.02.26	Llaneros SA - Deportivo Pasto	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
30.10.25	Llaneros SA - Atlético Nacional	0:3
11.05.25	Atlético Nacional - Llaneros SA	2:1

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