The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atlético Tucumán 28.7%
Draw 30.6%
Rosario Central 40.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
30%
29.6%
40.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.7%
29.3%
41%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Tucumán has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
Rosario Central has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Tucumán than the current prediction. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rosario Central than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Atlético Tucumán - Rosario Central Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Ingolotti L. (G) 24. Di Placido L. (C) 26. Ferreira Namandu C. D. 36. Vallejo L. 32. Infante J. 19. Vega L. 18. Ruiz R. 31. Godoy L. 10. Franco N. 14. Canelo A. 9. Diaz L.
23. Ledesma C. (G) 32. Coronel E. 46. Ovando I. 13. Avila G. 3. Sandez A. 88. Rodriguez A. 20. Pizarro V. 26. Cantizano G. 11. Di Maria A. (C) 8. Campaz J. 22. Copetti E.
Substitutes
30. Brondo M. 28. Compagnucci G. 25. Durso T. (G) 5. Fernandez J. 6. Ferrari G. 21. Galvan I. 27. Granillo R. 8. Ham E. 23. Lamendola N. 17. Rodriguez J. 11. Tesuri R. 3. Villa M.
16. Badaloni T. 10. Cervi F. 38. Fernandez D. (G) 18. Fernandez J. 44. Giaccone P. 24. Gimenez J. 6. Komar J. 15. Mallo Blanco F. 9. Ruben M. 33. Soto A. 42. Veron E. 2. Zaracho S.
Coaches
Falcioni J.
Almiron J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, Avila G. ⚽, Di Maria A. (A),
7', 0 - 2, Avila G. ⚽, Cantizano G. (A),
10', Vega L. 🟨,
30', Rodriguez A. 🟨,
37', 1 - 2, Canelo A. ⚽, Ruiz R. (A),
38', Di Placido L. 🟨,
42', 2 - 2, Ruiz R. ⚽, Diaz L. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Vega L. ↓, Ham E. ↑,
61', Diaz L. 🟨,
70', Cantizano G. 🟨,
75', Canelo A. ↓, Galvan I. ↑,
75', Di Placido L. ↓, Villa M. ↑,
78', Cantizano G. ↓, Fernandez J. ↑,
78', Copetti E. ↓, Ruben M. ↑,
80', 2 - 3, Fernandez J. ⚽, Rodriguez A. (A),
82', Coronel E. ↓, Mallo Blanco F. ↑,
82', Ruiz R. ↓, Tesuri R. ↑,
82', Franco N. ↓, Lamendola N. ↑,
90+5', Campaz J. ↓, Cervi F. ↑,
90+5', Di Maria A. ↓, Gimenez J. ↑,
Preview
An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 10th and 1st in the Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Playoffs - 1/8 - finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Tucumán won 0.
Recent results have been tough for Atlético Tucumán (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Rosario is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Rosario may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
Confirmed absences for Atlético Tucumán: Brandan M.
(Calf Injury)
Diaz L.
(Inactive)
Martin Benitez
(Muscle Injury)
Ortiz K.
(Muscle Injury)
Suso G.
(Knee Injury).
Confirmed absences for Rosario: Duarte G.
(Inactive)
Fernandez P.
(Inactive)
Rodriguez A.
(Inactive)
Werner A.
(Inactive).
In the last 17 head-to-head meetings, Atlético Tucumán has recorded 3 wins, 5 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 17:27 (averaging 1:1.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Atlético Tucumán against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, with 11:11 goals (averaging 1.4:1.4 per game).
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Ingolotti L. (G) 
Ferreira Namandu C. D. 
Franco N. 
Pizarro V. 
Campaz J. 
Ham E. 
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