Match Info

Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 14

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Monumental Jose Fierro (Tucuman)

Referee: Echavarria P. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN, ESPN Premium
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Mexico	Disney+
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Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Atlético Tucumán		Tigre

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.85	3.1
	2.55	2.88	3.1
	2.61	2.91	3.27
	2.53	2.92	3.17	Watch
	2.4	2.88	3
	2.51	2.86	3.14	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↓ (2.98)	2.88 ↓ (2.91)	3.13 ↑ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Tucumán
37.3%

Draw
32.6%

Tigre
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31%

31.8%

37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

30.2%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Tucumán has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Tucumán's performance.

Tigre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tigre might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Tucumán than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tigre than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tigre could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Atlético Tucumán - Tigre Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Atlético Tucumán will win (votes: 6 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlético Tucumán (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ingolotti L. (G) 3. Villa M. 26. Ferreira Namandu C. D. 20. Suso G. 21. Galvan I. 8. Ham E. 45. Ortiz K. 11. Tesuri R. (C) 10. Franco N. 23. Lamendola N. 9. Diaz L.	12. Zenobio F. T. (G) 4. Moreno V. 2. Laso J. (C) 42. Arias R. 24. Alvarez F. 11. Serrago T. 30. Elias J. 23. Pineiro G. 22. Lopez S. 19. Oviedo A. 28. Martinez P.
Substitutes
35. Abeldano G. 28. Compagnucci G. 24. Di Placido L. 5. Dominguez J. 25. Durso T. (G) 6. Ferrari G. 31. Godoy L. 34. Roman L. 18. Ruiz R. 27. Segovia A. 36. Vallejo L. 19. Vega L.	3. Banegas N. 20. Barrionuevo A. 33. Cabrera E. 18. Fernandez M. 8. Garay M. 5. Leyes B. 21. Medina S. 55. Mosqueira J. 29. Russo I. 10. Saralegui J. 26. Sultani T. (G) 32. Villalba J.
Coaches
Falcioni J.	Dabove D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
40', Pineiro G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Oviedo A. ↓, Russo I. ↑,
46', Pineiro G. ↓, Leyes B. ↑,
57', Serrago T. ↓, Garay M. ↑,
65', Ferreira Namandu C. D. 🟨,
71', Martinez P. ↓, Saralegui J. ↑,
71', Ham E. ↓, Godoy L. ↑,
79', Tesuri R. ↓, Ruiz R. ↑,
89', Lopez S. ↓, Medina S. ↑,
90+5', Lamendola N. ↓, Segovia A. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Tucumán won 0.

Recent performances by Atlético Tucumán have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Tigre has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Atlético Tucumán may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Atlético Tucumán: Abeldano G. (Inactive) Brandan M. (Calf Injury)

There will not play in Tigre: Gonzalez S. (Knee Injury) Lezcano S. (Inactive)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Atlético Tucumán won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:13. (average 0.4:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Tucumán won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Atlético Tucumán - the odds 2.98 are the expected chance of winning is 30.98%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Tucumán
Argentinian Liga Profesional
04.04.26	Rosario Central - Atlético Tucumán	2:1 ✺
Copa Argentina
25.03.26	Atlético Tucumán - Sportivo Barracas	2:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
20.03.26	Atlético Tucumán - Gimnasia La Plata	1:0 ✺
16.03.26	Barracas Central - Atlético Tucumán	2:1 ✺
11.03.26	Atlético Tucumán - Aldosivi	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWWLT
- CA Tigre
Copa Sudamericana
07.04.26	Alianza Atlético - Tigre	1:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
02.04.26	Tigre - Independiente Rivadavia	0:2 ✺
20.03.26	Banfield - Tigre	1:0 ✺
15.03.26	Tigre - Argentinos Juniors	1:1 ✺
10.03.26	Tigre - Vélez Sársfield	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
07.10.24	Atlético Tucumán - Tigre	1:2
20.05.23	Tigre - Atlético Tucumán	0:0
17.08.22	Tigre - Atlético Tucumán	0:0
Argentinian Copa de la Superliga
25.05.19	Atlético Tucumán - Tigre	0:1
18.05.19	Tigre - Atlético Tucumán	5:0
Argentinian Liga Profesional
14.09.18	Atlético Tucumán - Tigre	3:0
24.02.18	Atlético Tucumán - Tigre	0:0

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