Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 12

Date: 30 April 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Monumental (Rafaela)

Referee: Franklin A. (Arg)


	Atlético de Rafaela		Villa Dálmine

	1	X	2
	1.53	4	7
	1.53	3.9	5.5
	1.45	3.7	7
	1.52	4.01	6.91
	1.5	3.7	6
	1.53	4.05	6.35	Watch
	1.53	3.9	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.68)	3.89 ↑ (3.29)	6.37 ↑ (5.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético de Rafaela
61.5%

Draw
23.9%

Villa Dálmine
14.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.3%

27.7%

18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

27.3%

17.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético de Rafaela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético de Rafaela's performance.

Villa Dálmine has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético de Rafaela than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético de Rafaela that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villa Dálmine than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Atlético de Rafaela - Villa Dálmine Predictions

Users Predictions: Atlético de Rafaela will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético de Rafaela won 1.

Atlético de Rafaela is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Villa Dálmine is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Villa Dálmine could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Atlético de Rafaela is absolute favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Atlético de Rafaela won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Atlético de Rafaela won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético de Rafaela
Argentinian Primera Nacional
23.04.23	Deportivo Madryn - Atlético de Rafaela	0:1 ✺
14.04.23	Atlético de Rafaela - Aldosivi	2:2 ✺
09.04.23	Atlético de Rafaela - Estudiantes de Caseros	1:1 ✺
03.04.23	Brown de Adrogué - Atlético de Rafaela	1:1 ✺
26.03.23	Atlético de Rafaela - Quilmes	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WTTTW
- Villa Dálmine
Argentinian Primera Nacional
22.04.23	Villa Dálmine - Estudiantes de Caseros	1:0 ✺
15.04.23	Brown de Adrogué - Villa Dálmine	2:0 ✺
08.04.23	Villa Dálmine - Quilmes	0:0 ✺
31.03.23	Gimnasia Jujuy - Villa Dálmine	2:0 ✺
25.03.23	Villa Dálmine - Ferro Carril Oeste	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
20.02.22	Atlético de Rafaela - Villa Dálmine	1:1
31.07.21	Villa Dálmine - Atlético de Rafaela	1:0
19.03.21	Atlético de Rafaela - Villa Dálmine	0:0
20.12.20	Villa Dálmine - Atlético de Rafaela	0:2
09.11.19	Villa Dálmine - Atlético de Rafaela	0:0
01.02.19	Atlético de Rafaela - Villa Dálmine	0:1
30.04.18	Atlético de Rafaela - Villa Dálmine	2:0

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