Match Info

Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 14

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Agustín Díaz (Zacatepec)

Referee: Sanchez M. E. L. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Hi! Sports


	Atlante		Cancún

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.58	3.9	4.95	Watch
	1.51	4.10	5.66	Watch
	1.57	3.82	4.97
	1.5	4	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.48)	3.96 ↓ (4.28)	5.27 ↓ (5.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlante
59.5%

Draw
23.2%

Cancún
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

21.6%

15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.4%

20.6%

15.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Cancún has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlante than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlante, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cancún than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Atlante - Cancún Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Barragan R. (G) 6. Carrera J. N. 3. Cruz D. 27. Escobar A. 13. Garcia Pardo M. 8. Gonzalez R. 19. Gonzalez S. 21. Ibarra J. (C) 34. Jimenez E. 5. Meza H. 2. Reyes F.	1. Andrade C. (G) 5. Chavez A. 9. Diaz J. 23. Galindo B. (C) 6. Ochoa I. 4. Reyes R. 22. Soria E. 11. Trejo C. 24. Unjanque J. 10. Uscanga P. 30. Zabala L.
Substitutes
33. Basulto L. 31. Bello B. 18. Bermudez C. 11. Coubert R. 30. Espinoza E. 7. Garcia M. 32. Millan Estrada M. A. (G) 16. Ramos R. 38. Tenorio J. 20. Tovar J.	26. Arce E. (G) 14. Campos K. 15. Hernandez M. 147. Lomeli D. 8. Melendre F. 18. Montiel S. 20. Rosales A. 139. Salaya De La Cruz C. 28. Solano A.
Coaches
Fuentes M.	Bravo M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
23', Barragan R. 🟨,
25', 0 - 1, Trejo C. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Gonzalez R. ↓, Bello B. ↑,
55', Uscanga P. ↓, Rosales A. ↑,
61', 1 - 1, Garcia Pardo M. ⚽,
61', Ibarra J. ↓, Bermudez C. ↑,
66', Unjanque J. ↓, Melendre F. ↑,
66', Ochoa I. ↓, Campos K. ↑,
71', Gonzalez S. ↓, Coubert R. ↑,
83', Garcia Pardo M. ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
83', Escobar A. ↓, Tenorio J. ↑,
90+1', Soria E. ↓, Montiel S. ↑,
90+8', Meza H. 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Atlante is Qualified for Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)

Cancún is Qualified for Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlante won 2.

In recent matches, both teams have secured multiple victories.

In this match, Atlante is considered a favorite.

We predict that Atlante will win today's game, with odds of 1.48.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Atlante won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:16. (average 1.1:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlante won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:6. (average 1.4:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlante FC
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
25.10.25	Mineros de Zacatecas - Atlante	1:4 ✺
18.10.25	Atlante - Venados	3:0 ✺
11.10.25	Dorados - Atlante	0:0 ✺
04.10.25	Atlante - Tlaxcala	3:0 ✺
27.09.25	Atlético Morelia - Atlante	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWTWW
- Cancún FC
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
25.10.25	Cancún - Correcaminos UAT	5:0 ✺
17.10.25	Tepatitlán de Morelos - Cancún	1:2 ✺
10.10.25	Cancún - Irapuato	0:0 ✺
03.10.25	Atlético La Paz - Cancún	2:4 ✺
27.09.25	Cancún - Tapatío	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
29.03.25	Atlante - Cancún	4:1
12.10.24	Cancún - Atlante	1:1
18.05.24	Atlante - Cancún	0:1 penalties
15.05.24	Cancún - Atlante	1:1
28.04.24	Atlante - Cancún	2:1
25.04.24	Cancún - Atlante	0:1
25.01.24	Cancún - Atlante	2:0

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