Match Info

Liga MX - Clausura - Round 7

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Jalisco (Guadalajara)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	VIX+, ViX Premium
South-america	ViX Latin America


	Atlas		Atlético San Luis

	1	X	2
	2.32	3.3	3	Watch
	2.48	3.05	2.92	Watch
	2.44	3.45	3.02
	2.46	3.2	2.99
	2.25	2.9	2.9
	2.32	3.35	3.21	Watch
	2.45	3.25	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↓ (2.73)	3.21 ↑ (3.17)	3.01 ↑ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlas
39.4%

Draw
29.3%

Atlético San Luis
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

29%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7%

29%

37.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlas's performance.

Atlético San Luis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético San Luis might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlas than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético San Luis than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético San Luis could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	28.6%	14.3%

Atlas - Atlético San Luis Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Atlas will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Atlético San Luis will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Vargas C. (G) 3. Gustavo Ferrareis 13. Aguirre G. 28. Capasso M. 21. Schlegel R. 199. Hernandez S. 58. Gonzalez A. 26. Rocha A. (C) 6. Zaldivar E. 11. Gonzalez D. 19. Aguirre E.	1. Sanchez A. (G) 2. Torres R. 30. Galindo B. 6. Juanpe 31. Aguila E. 15. Lucas Esteves 20. Flores L. 28. Medina J. 10. Salles-Lamonge S. 19. Munoz S. 9. Joao Pedro Galvao (C)
Substitutes
10. del Prete G. 251. Gamboa L. 8. Garcia M. E. 4. Mora A. 44. Pier R. 15. Ramirez P. 27. Rios De Alba V. H. 9. Rodriguez A. 25. Rodriguez J. 22. Sanchez A. (G)	25. Barajas F. 4. Dominguez J. 17. Duarte A. 7. Galdames B. 14. Garcia M. 34. Lajud G. (G) 5. Meraz R. 26. Perez S. 3. Robson Bambu 11. Rodriguez D.
Coaches
Cocca D.	Abascal G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, Joao Pedro Galvao ⚽, Medina J. (A),
25', Gustavo Ferrareis 🟨,
33', Salles-Lamonge S. 🟨,
41', 0 - 2, Aguila E. ⚽, Munoz S. (A),
44', Aguirre G. 🟨,
45+3', Torres R. 🟨,
45+8', Lucas Esteves 🟨,
45+9', 1 - 2, Gonzalez D. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Lucas Esteves ↓, Galdames B. ↑,
59', 2 - 2, Aguirre E. (Penalty Awarded),
64', Munoz S. ↓, Meraz R. ↑,
64', Flores L. ↓, Duarte A. ↑,
65', Joao Pedro Galvao 🟨,
70', Zaldivar E. ↓, Ramirez P. ↑,
70', Aguirre E. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
76', Meraz R. 🟨,
80', Torres R. ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
83', Aguila E. 🟥,
83', 3 - 2, Rodriguez A. ⚽, Schlegel R. (A),
84', Aguirre G. ↓, Gamboa L. ↑,
85', Galindo B. ↓, Robson Bambu ↑,
90', Gonzalez D. ↓, Rios De Alba V. H. ↑,
90', Hernandez S. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
90+1', Ramirez P. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlas won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Atlas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Atlas: Ortega E. (Suspended)

There will not play in Atlético San Luis: Lopez De Alba C. I. (Knee Injury) Macias O. (Injury)

There are questionable in Atlas: Cruz C. (Knee Injury) Serrato J. (Injury)

There are questionable in Atlético San Luis: Lucas Esteves (Injury)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Atlas won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:17. (average 1.6:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlas won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.8:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Atlas	11	5	3	3	17:18	-1	18
14	Atl. San Luis	10	3	3	4	14:18	-4	12

Last Results with these Odds

Atlas - the odds 2.73 are the expected chance of winning is 33.68%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Atlas
Mexican Liga MX
14.02.26	Pachuca - Atlas	3:1 ✺
07.02.26	Atlas - UNAM	2:2 ✺
31.01.26	Atlas - Mazatlan	1:0 ✺
17.01.26	Necaxa - Atlas	0:1 ✺
14.01.26	Cruz Azul - Atlas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LTWWL
- Atlético San Luis
Mexican Liga MX
14.02.26	Atlético San Luis - Querétaro	3:0 ✺
06.02.26	Necaxa - Atlético San Luis	4:1 ✺
31.01.26	Atlético San Luis - Chivas Guadalajara	2:3 ✺
17.01.26	Tijuana - Atlético San Luis	1:1 ✺
14.01.26	Club América - Atlético San Luis	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.5 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX
17.10.25	Atlético San Luis - Atlas	2:0
02.03.25	Atlas - Atlético San Luis	3:1
30.08.24	Atlético San Luis - Atlas	2:1
14.04.24	Atlas - Atlético San Luis	2:1
03.09.23	Atlético San Luis - Atlas	2:0
29.04.23	Atlético San Luis - Atlas	0:0
11.09.22	Atlas - Atlético San Luis	1:3

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