Match Info

URUGUAY: Primera Division - Clausura - Round 8

Date: 17 October 2024, Thursday

Location: Parque Capurro (Montevideo)

Referee: Matonte Cabrera A. M. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


South-america	Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica
Uruguay	VTV+
Venezuela	Inter
World	Disney+, Fanatiz


	Atletico Fenix Montevideo		Cerro

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.4	3.6	Watch
	2.1	3	3.5
	2.1	3.1	3.6	Watch
	2.16	3.11	3.93
	2.14	3.03	3.72	Watch
	2.05	3.1	3.5
	2.12	3.08	3.67	Watch
	2.1	3.1	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.26)	3.12 ↑ (3.08)	3.64 ↑ (3.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

Watch this match and Uruguayan Primera Division with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: GolTV (English)

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Current Win Probability

Atletico Fenix Montevideo
44.4%

Draw
30%

Cerro
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

30.1%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

29%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atletico Fenix Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Cerro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atletico Fenix Montevideo than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Cerro Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Fenix will win (votes: 9 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fenix: 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Marquez E. (G) 24. Alvez J. 4. Perg M. 22. Da Silveira A. 23. Argacha A. 21. Viera S. 5. Schetino A. (C) 14. Alfaro A. 19. Juambeltz M. 9. Da Silva S. 26. de Marco S.	1. Cubero M. (G) 4. Alvarez E. 3. Crespo E. 13. Lacoste P. (C) 16. Abero M. 5. Macelli A. 8. Petillo N. 6. Tijanovich H. 10. Ramirez S. 11. Berrios J. 14. Perez Azambuya E. M.
Substitutes
27. Cachi M. 20. Chopitea R. 17. Cortelezzi S. 40. De Leon F. 11. Estoyanoff F. 7. Fernandez W. 16. Guisolfo B. 13. Pereira G. 1. Requena A. (G) 28. Rodriguez F.	2. Araujo C. 21. Arevalo Gonzalez T. 17. Coccaro D. 9. Gonzalez N. 12. Larrea K. (G) 20. Rabunal M. 18. Rodriguez G. . Scorza B. 19. Triunfo G. 15. Wunsch N.
Coaches
Vigneri N.	Pallas I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
4', 0 - 1, Berrios J. ⚽,
20', 0 - 2, Tijanovich H. ⚽,
21', Argacha A. ↓, Rodriguez F. ↑,
26', Abero M. ↓, Triunfo G. ↑,
28', Viera S. 🟨,
31', Perez Azambuya E. M. 🟨,
34', Viera S. ↓, Cachi M. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Da Silveira A. ↓, Chopitea R. ↑,
46', Perez Azambuya E. M. ↓, Gonzalez N. ↑,
47', 1 - 2, Juambeltz M. ⚽,
59', Rodriguez F. 🟨,
63', Rodriguez F. 🟥,
66', Triunfo G. 🟨,
71', Tijanovich H. ↓, Coccaro D. ↑,
71', Triunfo G. ↓, Araujo C. ↑,
72', de Marco S. ↓, De Leon F. ↑,
72', Alfaro A. ↓, Fernandez W. ↑,
78', Petillo N. ↓, Rabunal M. ↑,
81', Lacoste P. 🟨,
83', Cubero M. 🟨,
85', Fernandez W. 🟨,
87', 1 - 3, Rabunal M. ⚽,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fenix won 0.

Recent matches Fenix is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cerro is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Fenix will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Fenix won 5 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 24:20 (average 1.2:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Fenix won 2 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11:9 (average 1.1:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atletico Fenix Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
11.10.24	Liverpool Montevideo - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	1:2 ✺
06.10.24	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Rampla Juniors	1:0 ✺
29.09.24	River Plate Montevideo - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	4:3 ✺
22.09.24	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Miramar Misiones	0:0 ✺
16.09.24	Boston River - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWLTL
- CA Cerro
Uruguayan Primera Division
12.10.24	Rampla Juniors - Cerro	1:1 ✺
05.10.24	Cerro - Miramar Misiones	0:1 ✺
28.09.24	Cerro Largo - Cerro	3:1 ✺
22.09.24	Cerro - Peñarol de Montevideo	0:5 ✺
14.09.24	Progreso - Cerro	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
13.04.24	Cerro - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	0:0
Uruguay Copa
21.02.24	Cerro - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	2:1 penalties
Uruguayan Primera Division
22.10.23	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Cerro	1:1
17.06.23	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Cerro	0:0
20.03.23	Cerro - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	2:0
11.02.21	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Cerro	3:3
20.08.20	Cerro - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	2:2

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