Match Info

Segunda Division - Promotion - Play Offs - Final

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Atenas de San Carlos		Deportivo Maldonado

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.4	2.88	2.92
	2.54	2.83	2.96
	2.57	2.91	2.91	Watch
	2.46	2.82	2.94
	2.45	2.8	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↓ (2.6)	2.85 ↓ (2.88)	2.95 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atenas de San Carlos
36.8%

Draw
32.1%

Deportivo Maldonado
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

31.1%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

31%

34.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atenas de San Carlos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Deportivo Maldonado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atenas de San Carlos than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Maldonado than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Atenas de San Carlos - Deportivo Maldonado Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
75', (Pen),
90+5', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

1st leg result: 0-0. 2nd leg.

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atenas won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Atenas won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Deportivo Maldonado - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 34.45%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atenas de San Carlos
Uruguayan Segunda Division
22.11.25	Deportivo Maldonado - Atenas de San Carlos	0:0 ✺
15.11.25	Atenas de San Carlos - Tacuarembó	2:2 ✺
08.11.25	Tacuarembó - Atenas de San Carlos	1:1 ✺
26.10.25	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Atenas de San Carlos	1:2 ✺
19.10.25	Atenas de San Carlos - Rampla Juniors	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 TTTWW
- Deportivo Maldonado SAD
Uruguayan Segunda Division
22.11.25	Deportivo Maldonado - Atenas de San Carlos	0:0 ✺
15.11.25	Colón Montevideo - Deportivo Maldonado	0:1 ✺
08.11.25	Deportivo Maldonado - Colón Montevideo	1:1 ✺
26.10.25	Deportivo Maldonado - La Luz	1:1 ✺
19.10.25	Cerrito - Deportivo Maldonado	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
22.11.25	Deportivo Maldonado - Atenas de San Carlos	0:0
23.08.25	Deportivo Maldonado - Atenas de San Carlos	0:1
04.06.25	Atenas de San Carlos - Deportivo Maldonado	1:1
31.08.19	Deportivo Maldonado - Atenas de San Carlos	1:3
Club Friendly
01.02.15	Atenas de San Carlos - Deportivo Maldonado	0:2

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