Match Info

URUGUAY: Primera Division - Torneo Intermedio - Round 2

Date: 16 June 2024, Sunday

Location: Parque Capurro (Montevideo)

Referee: Sacarelo B. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Star+
North-central-america	Star+ Norte
Turkey	GOL TV Play, GOL TV Play
Uruguay	VTV+


	Atletico Fenix Montevideo		Montevideo Wanderers

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.9	3.1	Watch
	2.35	3	2.9
	2.45	3	2.95
	2.52	2.97	3.3
	2.53	2.94	3.3
	2.38	3	2.9
	2.43	3.02	3.06	Watch
	2.4	2.95	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (2.26)	2.97 ↓ (3.04)	3.07 ↓ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atletico Fenix Montevideo
38.4%

Draw
31.3%

Montevideo Wanderers
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

30.6%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

29.4%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atletico Fenix Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Montevideo Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atletico Fenix Montevideo than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montevideo Wanderers than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Requena A. (G) 15. Chopitea R. 13. Pereira G. 24. Alvez J. (C) 27. Cachi M. 16. Guisolfo B. 7. Fernandez W. 28. Rodriguez F. 19. Juambeltz M. 29. Acuna M. 31. Dudu	25. da Silva J. (G) 6. Morales L. 23. Garcia E. (C) 13. Formiliano F. 27. Bontempo L. 5. Freitas G. 16. Alberti J. 7. Vega D. 24. Otormin L. 21. Rolon K. 14. Milan F.
Substitutes
8. Breno Caetano 18. Caceres S. 9. Da Silva S. 40. De Leon F. 26. de Marco S. 20. Franca S. 25. Marquez E. (G) 5. Schetino A. 6. Scotto S. 17. Viera G.	11. Albarracin A. 29. Crucci E. 20. Ferreira Berrondo M. N. 3. Garcia I. 26. Guzman S. 4. Risso M. 15. Rodriguez Sevilla J. I. 1. Silveira M. (G) 17. Suarez M. 8. Veglio B.
Coaches
Vigneri N.	Pacheco A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
30', 1 - 0, Chopitea R. ⚽,
37', Juambeltz M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Milan F. ↓, Crucci E. ↑,
64', Vega D. ↓, Ferreira Berrondo M. N. ↑,
64', Otormin L. ↓, Guzman S. ↑,
66', Juambeltz M. ↓, Da Silva S. ↑,
66', Dudu ↓, Schetino A. ↑,
70', Alberti J. 🟨,
77', Alberti J. ↓, Albarracin A. ↑,
81', Bontempo L. 🟨,
82', 2 - 0, Acuna M. (Pen),
85', Cachi M. ↓, de Marco S. ↑,
85', Acuna M. ↓, Viera G. ↑,
90+1', 2 - 1, Rolon K. (Pen),
90+4', 3 - 1, Da Silva S. ⚽,
90+7', Fernandez W. ↓, De Leon F. ↑,
90+8', Freitas G. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fenix won 2.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Fenix could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Fenix won 10 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 36-25.

Including matches at home between the teams Fenix won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 19-15.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atletico Fenix Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
08.06.24	Racing Montevideo - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	2:1 ✺
02.06.24	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Peñarol de Montevideo	0:1 ✺
26.05.24	Deportivo Maldonado - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	0:1 ✺
18.05.24	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Progreso	1:0 ✺
10.05.24	Nacional Montevideo - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.7 LLWWW
- Montevideo Wanderers
Uruguayan Primera Division
08.06.24	Montevideo Wanderers - Peñarol de Montevideo	2:0 ✺
01.06.24	Montevideo Wanderers - Rampla Juniors	2:1 ✺
25.05.24	Miramar Misiones - Montevideo Wanderers	2:0 ✺
19.05.24	Montevideo Wanderers - Cerro Largo	1:0 ✺
11.05.24	Peñarol de Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
21.04.24	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers	1:2
02.12.23	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers	1:1
06.05.23	Montevideo Wanderers - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	0:3
Club Friendly
27.01.23	Montevideo Wanderers - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	1:2
Uruguayan Primera Division
11.08.22	Montevideo Wanderers - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	2:1
20.07.22	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers	1:0
20.02.22	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers	0:3

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