The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Nacional Montevideo 65.6%
Draw 21.8%
Atletico Fenix Montevideo 12.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
68.4%
19.8%
11.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
72.4%
18.7%
11.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nacional Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
Atletico Fenix Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Montevideo than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nacional Montevideo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atletico Fenix Montevideo than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Nacional Montevideo - Atletico Fenix Montevideo Predictions
Users Predictions:
Nacional Montevideo will win
(6 of 6 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Mejia L. (G) 4. Haller R. 3. Izquierdo J. 23. Polenta D. (C) 32. Martinez F. 17. Ginella F. 18. Recoba J. 16. Castro A. 10. Pereyra M. 29. Santander F. 9. Bentancourt R.
1. Gonzalez Ojeda P. M. (G) 15. Chopitea R. 13. Pereira G. 4. Perg M. 24. Alvez J. 28. Rodriguez F. 5. Schetino A. 16. Guisolfo B. 27. Cachi M. 31. Dudu 19. Juambeltz M.
Substitutes
11. Baez Corradi G. 20. Carneiro G. 30. Ebere C. 7. Galeano A. 19. Gonzalez G. 14. Lozano L. 26. Sanabria L. 25. Suarez I. (G) 2. Velazquez E. 22. Zabala D.
29. Acuna M. 22. Bertocchi N. 8. Breno Caetano 9. Da Silva S. 26. de Marco S. 11. Estoyanoff F. 7. Fernandez W. 20. Franca S. 21. Morales E. 33. Requena A. (G)
Coaches
Recoba A.
Vigneri N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 4)
7', 0 - 1, Dudu ⚽,
11', 0 - 2, Dudu ⚽,
18', 0 - 3, Cachi M. ⚽,
26', Pereyra M. 🟨,
32', 0 - 4, Juambeltz M. (Pen),
42', Ginella F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Bentancourt R. ↓, Carneiro G. ↑,
46', Haller R. ↓, Lozano L. ↑,
46', Ginella F. ↓, Galeano A. ↑,
46', Pereyra M. ↓, Sanabria L. ↑,
53', 1 - 4, Galeano A. ⚽,
67', Cachi M. ↓, de Marco S. ↑,
67', Recoba J. ↓, Zabala D. ↑,
70', Juambeltz M. ↓, Da Silva S. ↑,
74', Da Silva S. 🟨,
75', Gonzalez Ojeda P. M. 🟨,
88', Dudu ↓, Estoyanoff F. ↑,
88', Guisolfo B. ↓, Bertocchi N. ↑,
88', Chopitea R. ↓, Breno Caetano ↑,
90+1', Martinez F. 🟨,
Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 2 and 16).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Nacional won 2.
Nacional in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Fenix has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Nacional could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Nacional have a series of home games.
In this match Nacional is absolute favorite.
Our prediction for today's Nacional to win the game is with odds 1.38.
Last 20 head-to-head matches Nacional won 15 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 36-10.
Including matches at home between the teams Nacional won 8 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 18-6.
Watch
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Mejia L. (G) 
Haller R. 
Castro A. 
Santander F. 
Dudu 
Ebere C. 
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