Match Info

URUGUAY: Primera Division - Torneo Intermedio - Round 1

Date: 8 June 2024, Saturday

Referee: Tejera G. (Uru)


	Racing Montevideo		Atletico Fenix Montevideo

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.1	3.4	Watch
	2.1	3.1	3.3
	2.15	3.2	3.3
	2.17	3.25	3.66
	2.17	3.23	3.64
	2.1	3.2	3.2
	2.1	3.28	3.47	Watch
	2.15	3.15	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.15)	3.19 ↑ (3.15)	3.42 ↓ (3.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Racing Montevideo
43.7%

Draw
29.1%

Atletico Fenix Montevideo
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

30.1%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

32.5%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Racing Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Atletico Fenix Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Montevideo than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atletico Fenix Montevideo than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.7%	8.3%	0%

Racing Montevideo - Atletico Fenix Montevideo Predictions

Users Predictions: Racing Montevideo will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Odriozola R. (G) 4. Cotugno G. 2. Magallanes H. 17. Ferreira M. 32. Espinosa Dovat T. N. 14. De Los Santos E. 7. Varela J. (C) 21. Rodriguez L. 77. Mederos S. 27. Veron T. 9. Nandin D.	33. Requena A. (G) 13. Pereira G. 4. Perg M. 24. Alvez J. (C) 15. Chopitea R. 16. Guisolfo B. 7. Fernandez W. 28. Rodriguez F. 27. Cachi M. 19. Juambeltz M. 31. Dudu
Substitutes
19. Airala C. 18. Alaniz A. 1. Bacchia R. (G) 3. Bueno G. 8. Gorocito L. 29. Hernandez A. 34. Pereira A. 10. Rivero J. 22. Severo A. 24. Teliz R.	29. Acuna M. 22. Bertocchi N. 8. Breno Caetano 18. Caceres S. 9. Da Silva S. 40. De Leon F. 26. de Marco S. 20. Franca S. 1. Soria A. (G) 17. Viera G.
Coaches
Espinel E.	Vigneri N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Chopitea R. ⚽,
31', Varela J. ↓, Alaniz A. ↑,
44', 1 - 1, Alaniz A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', Dudu ↓, De Leon F. ↑,
70', Mederos S. ↓, Rivero J. ↑,
79', Juambeltz M. ↓, Da Silva S. ↑,
79', Chopitea R. ↓, Breno Caetano ↑,
80', Rodriguez F. ↓, Franca S. ↑,
80', Perg M. ↓, Bertocchi N. ↑,
86', Espinosa Dovat T. N. ↓, Gorocito L. ↑,
90+1', 2 - 1, Alaniz A. (Pen),
90+5', Bertocchi N. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Racing won 4.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Racing will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Racing won 14 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 31-23.

Including matches at home between the teams Racing won 8 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 19-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
02.06.24	River Plate Montevideo - Racing Montevideo	3:3 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
28.05.24	Corinthians - Racing Montevideo	3:0 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
24.05.24	Racing Montevideo - Boston River	1:2 ✺
19.05.24	Danubio - Racing Montevideo	0:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
14.05.24	Racing Montevideo - Nacional Asuncion	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TLLWW
- Atletico Fenix Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
02.06.24	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Peñarol de Montevideo	0:1 ✺
26.05.24	Deportivo Maldonado - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	0:1 ✺
18.05.24	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Progreso	1:0 ✺
10.05.24	Nacional Montevideo - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	1:4 ✺
05.05.24	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Defensor Sporting	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.7 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
29.04.24	Racing Montevideo - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	2:0
19.10.23	Racing Montevideo - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	2:0
02.07.23	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Racing Montevideo	3:0
12.03.23	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Racing Montevideo	0:1
05.10.19	Racing Montevideo - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	4:1
11.08.19	Racing Montevideo - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	3:1
10.03.19	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Racing Montevideo	2:0

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