Match Info

URUGUAY: Primera Division - Clausura - Round 10

Date: 3 November 2024, Sunday

Location: Parque Capurro (Montevideo)

Referee: Burgos J. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Russia	Viju+ Sport
Uruguay	VTV+
World	Disney+


	Atletico Fenix Montevideo		Racing Montevideo

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.1	2.4	Watch
	2.87	3.1	2.35
	2.75	3	2.6	Watch
	3.07	3.18	2.52
	3.05	3.04	2.45	Watch
	2.9	3.1	2.3
	2.93	3.18	2.42	Watch
	2.75	3	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↓ (2.95)	3.09 ↓ (3.15)	2.46 ↓ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

Watch this match and Uruguayan Primera Division with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: GolTV (English)

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Current Win Probability

Atletico Fenix Montevideo
31.8%

Draw
30.2%

Racing Montevideo
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.9%

29.9%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

28.7%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atletico Fenix Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Racing Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atletico Fenix Montevideo than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing Montevideo than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Racing Montevideo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Marquez E. (G) 16. Guisolfo B. 13. Pereira G. 24. Alvez J. 20. Chopitea R. 5. Schetino A. (C) 14. Alfaro A. 29. Franca S. 27. Cachi M. 9. Da Silva S. 19. Juambeltz M.	25. Odriozola R. (G) 4. Cotugno G. 3. Bueno G. 2. Magallanes H. 34. Pereira A. 21. Rodriguez L. 7. Varela J. 32. Espinosa Dovat T. N. 18. Alaniz A. 9. Nandin D. 20. Urretaviscaya J.
Substitutes
8. Breno Caetano 17. Cortelezzi S. 40. De Leon F. 26. de Marco S. 11. Estoyanoff F. 7. Fernandez W. 1. Requena A. (G) 28. Rodriguez F. 6. Scotto S. 21. Viera S.	11. Andrada F. 1. Bacchia R. (G) 15. Caceres M. 16. Da Silva E. 14. De Los Santos E. 8. Gorocito L. . Monzon L. 10. Rivero J. 22. Severo A. . Teliz R.
Coaches
Vigneri N.	Espinel E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
28', 0 - 1, Alaniz A. ⚽,
30', 0 - 2, Varela J. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Franca S. ↓, Rodriguez F. ↑,
46', Juambeltz M. ↓, de Marco S. ↑,
51', Cachi M. 🟨,
59', Chopitea R. ↓, Cortelezzi S. ↑,
59', Alfaro A. ↓, Estoyanoff F. ↑,
68', Pereira G. 🟨,
69', Espinosa Dovat T. N. 🟨,
73', Schetino A. ↓, Breno Caetano ↑,
77', Urretaviscaya J. ↓, De Los Santos E. ↑,
82', Pereira A. ↓, Monzon L. ↑,
89', Alaniz A. ↓, Andrada F. ↑,
90+2', Cortelezzi S. 🟨,
90+3', Magallanes H. 🟨,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 7 and 6).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fenix won 1.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Racing could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Fenix won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 14 matches and goals 24:32 (average 1.2:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Fenix won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 14:11 (average 1.6:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atletico Fenix Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
20.10.24	Montevideo Wanderers - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	1:2 ✺
17.10.24	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Cerro	1:3 ✺
11.10.24	Liverpool Montevideo - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	1:2 ✺
06.10.24	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Rampla Juniors	1:0 ✺
29.09.24	River Plate Montevideo - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WLWWL
- Racing Montevideo
Uruguay Copa
24.10.24	Defensor Sporting - Racing Montevideo	1:0 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
20.10.24	Cerro - Racing Montevideo	1:1 ✺
16.10.24	Racing Montevideo - Rampla Juniors	2:1 ✺
13.10.24	Miramar Misiones - Racing Montevideo	2:2 ✺
05.10.24	Racing Montevideo - Cerro Largo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
08.06.24	Racing Montevideo - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	2:1
29.04.24	Racing Montevideo - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	2:0
19.10.23	Racing Montevideo - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	2:0
02.07.23	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Racing Montevideo	3:0
12.03.23	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Racing Montevideo	0:1
05.10.19	Racing Montevideo - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	4:1
11.08.19	Racing Montevideo - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	3:1

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