What is the expert prediction for Atlético Bucaramanga vs Real Santander?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Atlético Bucaramanga vs Real Santander. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Atlético Bucaramanga vs Real Santander Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Thursday, May 07, 2026)

Match Info

Copa Colombia - First stage - Round 1

Date: 7 May 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Américo Montanini (Bucaramanga)


	Atlético Bucaramanga		Real Santander

	1	X	2
	1.22	6	13	Watch
	1.25	4.95	11.5
	1.27	5	13.5
	1.29	4.83	12.73	Watch
	1.25	4.4	12
	1.26	4.6	11.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.31)	4.96 ↑ (4.52)	12.34 ↑ (9.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Bucaramanga
73.8%

Draw
18.7%

Real Santander
7.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.1%

20.3%

9.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

10.9%

17.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Bucaramanga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Real Santander has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Bucaramanga than the current prediction. (-36%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Bucaramanga that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Santander than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Santander could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Bucaramanga will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Caicedo B. ⚽,
35', 2 - 0, Caicedo B. ⚽,
39', 3 - 0, Batalla E. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
77', 4 - 0, Batalla E. ⚽,
80', 5 - 0, Londono K. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bucaramanga won 4.

Bucaramanga is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Real Santander has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Real Santander may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Bucaramanga is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Bucaramanga won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 23:11. (average 2.1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Bucaramanga won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 12:6. (average 2.4:1.2).

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Bucaramanga
Colombian Primera A
03.05.26	Fortaleza CEIF - Atlético Bucaramanga	2:1 ✺
25.04.26	Atlético Bucaramanga - Jaguares de Córdoba	2:2 ✺
20.04.26	Atlético Nacional - Atlético Bucaramanga	2:0 ✺
12.04.26	Atlético Bucaramanga - Boyacá Chicó	5:0 ✺
07.04.26	Rionegro Águilas - Atlético Bucaramanga	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LTLWL
- Real Santander
Colombian Primera B
18.04.26	Real Santander - Bogotá	1:2 ✺
12.04.26	Leones - Real Santander	1:0 ✺
07.04.26	Barranquilla - Real Santander	2:0 ✺
31.03.26	Real Santander - Envigado	1:3 ✺
26.03.26	Unión Magdalena - Real Santander	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Copa
20.03.24	Real Santander - Atlético Bucaramanga	3:4
07.03.24	Atlético Bucaramanga - Real Santander	6:2
03.05.17	Real Santander - Atlético Bucaramanga	0:4
15.03.17	Atlético Bucaramanga - Real Santander	3:1
04.05.16	Atlético Bucaramanga - Real Santander	2:2
10.02.16	Real Santander - Atlético Bucaramanga	1:0
Colombian Primera B
11.10.15	Real Santander - Atlético Bucaramanga	0:2

Atlético Bucaramanga - Real Santander: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide