Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie A Betano - Round 32

Date: 6 November 2024, Wednesday

Location: Estádio Antonio Accioly (Goiânia)

Referee: Pinheiro J. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Chile	MEGOGO
Peru	L1 Max
Ukraine	Sport 2
World	Fanatiz


	Atlético Goianiense		Atlético Mineiro

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.1	3.3	Watch
	2.4	3.2	3.1
	2.3	3.2	3.2	Watch
	2.36	3.27	3.29
	2.32	3.25	3.21	Watch
	2.3	3.2	3
	2.32	3.24	3.19	Watch
	2.3	3.2	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↓ (2.51)	3.21 ↑ (3.09)	3.19 ↑ (2.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Goianiense
40.7%

Draw
29.5%

Atlético Mineiro
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

30.6%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

29.2%

33.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Goianiense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Atlético Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Goianiense than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	9.1%	54.5%

Atlético Goianiense - Atlético Mineiro Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Atlético GO will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Atlético MG will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético MG: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ronaldo Strada (G) 2. Maguinho 4. Luiz Felipe 3. Alix Vinicius 6. Guilherme Romao 5. Freitas G. 8. Baralhas (C) 11. Luiz Fernando 10. Cruz A. 7. Lacava M. 9. Derek	1. Gabriel Delfim (G) 26. Renzo Saravia 16. Igor Rabello (C) 3. Bruno Fuchs 44. Rubens 18. Fausto Vera 27. Monteiro P. 20. Bernard 45. Alisson 11. Eduardo Vargas 9. Deyverson
Substitutes
13. Bruno Tubarao 18. Campbell J. 19. Janderson 20. Jan Hurtado 15. Luiz Gustavo 14. Marcao 12. Pedro Rangel (G) 16. Rhaldney 17. Shaylon	14. Alan Kardec 32. Gabriel Atila (G) 13. Guilherme Arana 4. Lemos M. 39. Maia C. 5. Otavio 30. Palacios Alzate B. 33. Robert 47. Romulo 40. Vitinho 15. Zaracho M.
Coaches
Umberto Louzer	Milito G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
4', Monteiro P. 🟨,
8', Maguinho 🟨,
31', Monteiro P. ↓, Otavio ↑,
45', Freitas G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Maguinho ↓, Bruno Tubarao ↑,
46', Eduardo Vargas ↓, Zaracho M. ↑,
57', Rubens ↓, Guilherme Arana ↑,
62', Lacava M. ↓, Shaylon ↑,
62', Cruz A. ↓, Janderson ↑,
66', Otavio 🟨,
67', Deyverson ↓, Alan Kardec ↑,
67', Bernard ↓, Palacios Alzate B. ↑,
70', Freitas G. ↓, Rhaldney ↑,
75', Derek ↓, Jan Hurtado ↑,
90', 1 - 0, Janderson ⚽, Baralhas (A),

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético GO won 1.

Atlético GO is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Atlético MG is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Atlético GO could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Atlético GO: Araos A. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Atlético MG: Bernard (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Atlético GO: Jorginho (Achilles Tendon Injury) Maguinho (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Atlético MG: Cadu (Knee Injury)

Last 11 head-to-head matches Atlético GO won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 13:24 (average 1.2:2.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Atlético GO won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6:9 (average 1.2:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Goianiense
Brazilian Serie A
26.10.24	Grêmio - Atlético Goianiense	3:1 ✺
18.10.24	Atlético Goianiense - Cuiabá	0:0 ✺
03.10.24	Criciúma - Atlético Goianiense	2:0 ✺
29.09.24	Atlético Goianiense - Fluminense	1:0 ✺
21.09.24	Corinthians - Atlético Goianiense	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LTLWL
- Atlético Mineiro
Copa do Brasil
03.11.24	Flamengo - Atlético Mineiro	3:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
29.10.24	River Plate Montevideo - Atlético Mineiro	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
26.10.24	Atlético Mineiro - Internacional RS	1:3 ✺
Copa Libertadores
22.10.24	Atlético Mineiro - River Plate Montevideo	3:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
19.10.24	Vasco da Gama - Atlético Mineiro	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
30.06.24	Atlético Mineiro - Atlético Goianiense	1:1
04.09.22	Atlético Goianiense - Atlético Mineiro	0:2
14.05.22	Atlético Mineiro - Atlético Goianiense	2:0
17.10.21	Atlético Goianiense - Atlético Mineiro	2:1
01.07.21	Atlético Mineiro - Atlético Goianiense	4:1
17.01.21	Atlético Mineiro - Atlético Goianiense	3:1
19.09.20	Atlético Goianiense - Atlético Mineiro	3:4

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