Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie A Betano - Round 31

Date: 26 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Arena do Grêmio (Porto Alegre)

Referee: Alves Batista E. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping
Chile	MEGOGO
Peru	L1 Max
Turkey	Spor Smart 2
Ukraine	Sport 2
World	Fanatiz, Sport 2 Baltic


	Grêmio		Atlético Goianiense

	1	X	2
	1.55	4.1	6	Watch
	1.57	4.1	5.75
	1.57	4	6	Watch
	1.57	4.21	6.12
	1.58	4.11	5.78	Watch
	1.53	3.9	5.8
	1.58	4.1	5.7	Watch
	1.57	4	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.66)	4.07 ↑ (3.71)	5.89 ↑ (5.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Grêmio
60.6%

Draw
23.3%

Atlético Goianiense
16.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.1%

25.6%

17.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.1%

24.3%

16.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grêmio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Atlético Goianiense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Goianiense than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Grêmio - Atlético Goianiense Predictions

Users Predictions: Grêmio will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Marchesin A. (G) 18. Joao Pedro 5. Rodrigo Ely 28. Jemerson 6. Reinaldo 20. Villasanti M. (C) 23. Pepe 11. Monsalve M. 7. Soteldo Y. 22. Braithwaite M. 16. Aravena A.	1. Ronaldo Strada (G) 2. Bruno Tubarao 3. Adriano Martins 4. Luiz Felipe 6. Guilherme Romao 5. Roni 7. Rhaldney 8. Baralhas (C) 11. Cruz A. 10. Luiz Fernando 9. Derek
Substitutes
9. Arezo M. 10. Cristaldo F. 37. Du Queiroz 15. Edenilson 2. Fabio 26. Mayk 14. Nathan 21. Pavon C. 3. Pedro Geromel 33. Rafael Cabral (G) 30. Rodrigo Caio 35. Ronald	14. Alix Vinicius 20. Carlos J. 15. Freitas G. 17. Janderson 19. Jan Hurtado 18. Lacava M. 12. Pedro Rangel (G) 13. Rodallega Y. 16. Shaylon
Coaches
Renato Gaucho	Umberto Louzer

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
19', Jemerson 🟨,
22', Luiz Fernando 🟨,
27', Derek (Pen),
28', 0 - 1, Derek ⚽,
31', Adriano Martins 🟨,
35', Derek 🟨,
40', 1 - 1, Soteldo Y. ⚽,
45+1', Braithwaite M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
53', Rhaldney ↓, Lacava M. ↑,
58', 2 - 1, Pepe ⚽, Aravena A. (A),
65', Luiz Felipe 🟨,
67', Monsalve M. ↓, Edenilson ↑,
67', Aravena A. ↓, Cristaldo F. ↑,
78', Luiz Fernando ↓, Janderson ↑,
81', Janderson 🟨,
84', 3 - 1, Villasanti M. ⚽, Reinaldo (A),
84', Braithwaite M. ↓, Arezo M. ↑,
84', Pepe ↓, Ronald ↑,
88', Soteldo Y. ↓, Pavon C. ↑,
89', Guilherme Romao ↓, Shaylon ↑,
89', Roni ↓, Freitas G. ↑,
90', Derek ↓, Carlos J. ↑,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 13 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Grêmio won 1.

The competitors look crappy now.

Grêmio could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Grêmio is a favorite.

There will not play in Grêmio: Andre Henrique (Injury) Walter Kannemann (Injury)

There will not play in Atlético GO: Araos A. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Grêmio: Gustavo Martins (Injury)

There are questionable in Atlético GO: Jorginho (Achilles Tendon Injury) Maguinho (Ankle Injury)

Last 9 head-to-head matches Grêmio won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:8 (average 1:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Grêmio won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:4 (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grêmio RS
Brazilian Serie A
19.10.24	Internacional RS - Grêmio	1:0 ✺
09.10.24	Atlético Mineiro - Grêmio	2:1 ✺
04.10.24	Grêmio - Fortaleza	3:1 ✺
28.09.24	Botafogo RJ - Grêmio	0:0 ✺
25.09.24	Grêmio - Criciúma	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LLWTL
- Atlético Goianiense
Brazilian Serie A
18.10.24	Atlético Goianiense - Cuiabá	0:0 ✺
03.10.24	Criciúma - Atlético Goianiense	2:0 ✺
29.09.24	Atlético Goianiense - Fluminense	1:0 ✺
21.09.24	Corinthians - Atlético Goianiense	3:0 ✺
14.09.24	Atlético Goianiense - Vitória Salvador	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
26.06.24	Atlético Goianiense - Grêmio	1:1
25.10.21	Atlético Goianiense - Grêmio	2:0
04.07.21	Grêmio - Atlético Goianiense	0:1
27.12.20	Grêmio - Atlético Goianiense	2:1
06.09.20	Atlético Goianiense - Grêmio	1:1
26.11.17	Grêmio - Atlético Goianiense	1:1
02.08.17	Atlético Goianiense - Grêmio	0:1

Upcoming Matches