Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE B - ROUND 38

Date: 25 November 2023, Saturday


	Atlético Goianiense		Guarani

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.34	4.6	8.25
	1.33	4.75	9.5	Watch
	1.35	4.99	10.54
	1.34	4.92	10.1
	1.29	4.75	9.5
	1.33	4.85	9.6
	1.34	4.6	8.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.46)	4.78 ↑ (4.18)	9.47 ↑ (7.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Goianiense
70.5%

Draw
19.6%

Guarani
9.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.6%

22.5%

12.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1%

18.5%

15.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Goianiense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Goianiense's performance.

Guarani has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Goianiense than the current prediction. (-17.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Goianiense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guarani than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guarani could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	12.5%	12.5%

Atlético Goianiense - Guarani Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Atlético GO will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Guarani will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético GO: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ronaldo Strada (C) 2. Bruno Tubarao 3. Luiz Felipe 4. Alix 6. Lucas Esteves 5. Matheus Sales 8. Baralhas 7. Kelvin 10. Shaylon 11. Luiz Fernando 9. Gustavo Coutinho	1. Pegorari (G) 13. Diogo Mateus (C) 3. Lucao 23. Wenderson 6. Mayk 12. Alan Santos 21. Lucas Araujo 33. Gustavo Franca 37. Iago Teles 7. Pablo Thomaz 19. Joao Victor
Substitutes
22. Airton 21. Daniel Lima 12. Diego Loureiro (G) 20. Dodo 14. Emerson Santos 16. Heron 15. Lucas Gazal 17. Marcos Serrato 18. Matheus Peixoto 23. Matheus Regis 19. Rhaldney 13. Rodrigo Soares	22. Alvaro (G) 28. Bernardo 15. Eliel 29. Isaque 14. Ivan Alvarino 20. Lucas Silva 78. Regis 30. Yan
Coaches
Ventura J.	Louzer U.

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 and 10).

Recent matches Atlético GO is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Guarani is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Atlético GO could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Atlético GO is indisputable favorite.

There will not play in Guarani: Bruno Jose (Injury) Matheus Barbosa (Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Atlético GO won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Goianiense
Brazilian Serie B
18.11.23	Mirassol - Atlético Goianiense	4:1 ✺
10.11.23	Sport Recife - Atlético Goianiense	0:0 ✺
01.11.23	Atlético Goianiense - Grêmio Novorizontino	2:2 ✺
28.10.23	Vila Nova - Atlético Goianiense	2:1 ✺
19.10.23	Atlético Goianiense - ABC	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LTTLW
- Guarani Futebol Clube
Brazilian Serie B
19.11.23	Guarani - ABC	2:3 ✺
14.11.23	Guarani - Criciúma	1:1 ✺
03.11.23	Londrina - Guarani	0:0 ✺
27.10.23	Guarani - Botafogo SP	0:1 ✺
20.10.23	Mirassol - Guarani	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
23.07.23	Guarani - Atlético Goianiense	1:0

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