Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE B - ROUND 37

Date: 18 November 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Greece	Nova Sports


	Mirassol		Atlético Goianiense

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.15	2.95	3.4
	2.2	3.1	3.4	Watch
	2.25	3.14	3.67
	2.26	3.14	3.67
	2.1	3.1	3.3
	2.18	3.16	3.48	Watch
	2.23	3.05	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (1.87)	3.09 ↓ (3.22)	3.46 ↓ (4.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mirassol
42.6%

Draw
30.3%

Atlético Goianiense
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

28.9%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6%

28.4%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mirassol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mirassol's form might have worsened.

Atlético Goianiense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Goianiense's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mirassol, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Goianiense than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Goianiense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	70%	20%

Mirassol - Atlético Goianiense Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Mirassol will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Atlético GO will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 70%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Alex Muralha (G) 2. Lucas Ramon 3. Thalisson Kelven 4. Luiz Otavio 6. Manoel 5. Neto Moura 8. Danielzinho 10. Chico Kim 7. Fernandinho 9. Ze Roberto 11. Negueba	1. Ronaldo Strada (G) 2. Bruno Tubarao 3. Luiz Felipe 4. Alix 6. Lucas Esteves 5. Matheus Sales 8. Baralhas 10. Shaylon 7. Kelvin 9. Matheus Peixoto 11. Luiz Fernando
Substitutes
20. Camilo 12. Cesar Augusto (G) 19. Cristian Renato 25. Darley (G) 21. Flavio Silva 13. Heitor 18. Julimar 17. Kauan 16. Leandro Vilela 14. Renie 22. Rodrigo Ferreira 15. Yuri Lima	20. Airton 21. Daniel Lima 12. Diego Loureiro (G) 19. Dodo 14. Emerson Santos 16. Igor Ribeiro 15. Lucas Gazal 17. Marcos Serrato 22. Matheus Regis 18. Rhaldney 13. Rodrigo Soares
Coaches
Mozart	Ventura J.

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 8 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Atlético GO could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Mirassol will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Mirassol: Rodrigo Ferreira (Injury) Rodrigo Sam (Red Card)

There are questionable in Mirassol: Negueba (Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Mirassol won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mirassol
Brazilian Serie B
12.11.23	Ceará - Mirassol	2:0 ✺
03.11.23	Mirassol - Sport Recife	2:1 ✺
28.10.23	Ituano - Mirassol	0:0 ✺
20.10.23	Mirassol - Guarani	0:0 ✺
10.10.23	ABC - Mirassol	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWTTW
- Atlético Goianiense
Brazilian Serie B
10.11.23	Sport Recife - Atlético Goianiense	0:0 ✺
01.11.23	Atlético Goianiense - Grêmio Novorizontino	2:2 ✺
28.10.23	Vila Nova - Atlético Goianiense	2:1 ✺
19.10.23	Atlético Goianiense - ABC	3:1 ✺
15.10.23	Ponte Preta - Atlético Goianiense	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
19.07.23	Atlético Goianiense - Mirassol	2:2

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