Match Info

Serie A Betano - Round 31

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Alfredo Jaconi (Caxias do Sul)

Referee: Sampaio S. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
China	K-Ball
Croatia	Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
Ecuador	Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
Mexico	Fanatiz
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Portugal	Canal 11
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Sport 1
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+, #Vamos
Usa	Fanatiz


	Juventude		Palmeiras

	1	X	2
	6.25	3.7	1.62	Watch
	5.4	3.7	1.62
	7.79	4.59	1.40	Watch
	6.7	3.77	1.63	Watch
	6.2	4	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.47 ↓ (7.5)	3.95 ↓ (4.5)	1.56 ↑ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Juventude
14.8%

Draw
24.2%

Palmeiras
61.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.5%

20.8%

66.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.9%

19.9%

69.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juventude has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Palmeiras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Palmeiras might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventude than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Palmeiras could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.6%	9.1%	77.3%

Juventude - Palmeiras Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Juventude will win (votes: 3 - 13.6%). Palmeiras will win (votes: 17 - 77.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Palmeiras: 59.8% – 94.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Palmeiras will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Jandrei (G) 32. Igor Formiga 34. Rodrigo Sam 3. Luan Freitas 28. Alan Ruschel (C) 99. Rafael Bilu 4. Angel W. 95. Caique Goncalves 72. Peixoto 10. Nene 7. Gabriel Veron	1. Carlos Miguel (G) 12. Khellven 3. Bruno Fuchs 26. Murilo 6. Jefte 32. Martinez E. 5. Moreno A. 17. Torres F. 23. Raphael Veiga (C) 7. Felipe Anderson 11. Bruno Rodrigues
Substitutes
23. Abner 87. Edison Negueba 97. Enio 2. Ewerthon 9. Gilberto 11. Giovanny 55. Hudson 22. Marcelo Hermes 93. Reginaldo 21. Ruan Carneiro (G) 90. Scatolin J. 6. Sforza J.	43. Benedetti 4. Giay A. 48. Larson 42. Lopez J. 31. Luighi 14. Marcelo Lomba (G) 18. Mauricio 13. Micael 8. Pereira A. 22. Piquerez J. 19. Sosa R. 9. Vitor Roque
Coaches
Thiago Carpini	Abel Ferreira

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Bruno Rodrigues ⚽, Raphael Veiga (A),
33', Angel W. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Gabriel Veron ↓, Giovanny ↑,
56', Raphael Veiga ↓, Mauricio ↑,
59', Rafael Bilu ↓, Enio ↑,
61', 0 - 2, Felipe Anderson ⚽, Bruno Fuchs (A),
64', Felipe Anderson ↓, Pereira A. ↑,
64', Torres F. ↓, Sosa R. ↑,
70', Caique Goncalves 🟨,
73', Nene ↓, Gilberto ↑,
83', Alan Ruschel ↓, Marcelo Hermes ↑,
83', Angel W. ↓, Sforza J. ↑,
83', Moreno A. 🟨,
83', Bruno Rodrigues ↓, Vitor Roque ↑,
83', Moreno A. ↓, Micael ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juventude won 0.

Recent form of Juventude has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Palmeiras's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Palmeiras may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Palmeiras is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Juventude: Gabriel Taliari (Yellow Cards) Jadson (Yellow Cards) Lucas Fernandes (Muscle Injury) Mandaca (Thigh Injury) Marcos Paulo (Red Card)

There will not play in Palmeiras: Lucas Evangelista (Hamstring Injury) Paulinho (Leg Injury)

There are questionable in Juventude: Angel W. (Thigh Injury) Emerson Galego (Ankle Injury) Nata (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Palmeiras: Allan (Injury) Bruno Fuchs (Injury) Weverton (Inactive)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Juventude won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:21. (average 1:3).

Including home matches between the teams, Juventude won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:11. (average 1:3.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Palmeiras - the odds 1.4 are the expected chance of winning is 66.77%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Juventude
Brazilian Serie A
26.10.25	Grêmio - Juventude	3:1 ✺
20.10.25	Juventude - Red Bull Bragantino	1:0 ✺
16.10.25	Fluminense - Juventude	1:0 ✺
11.10.25	Palmeiras - Juventude	4:1 ✺
05.10.25	Juventude - Fortaleza	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWLLL
- Palmeiras
Copa Libertadores
30.10.25	Palmeiras - LDU Quito	4:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
26.10.25	Palmeiras - Cruzeiro	0:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
23.10.25	LDU Quito - Palmeiras	3:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
19.10.25	Flamengo - Palmeiras	3:2 ✺
15.10.25	Palmeiras - Red Bull Bragantino	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
11.10.25	Palmeiras - Juventude	4:1
20.10.24	Juventude - Palmeiras	3:5
23.06.24	Palmeiras - Juventude	3:1
10.09.22	Palmeiras - Juventude	2:1
21.05.22	Juventude - Palmeiras	0:3
03.10.21	Palmeiras - Juventude	1:1
16.06.21	Juventude - Palmeiras	0:3

Upcoming Matches