Match Info

Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 8

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal Los Chankas (Andahuaylas)

Referee: Ortega K. (Per)

Where to Watch on TV:


Peru	Liga 1 Play, Movistar TV App
Usa	Fanatiz


	Los Chankas		Sporting Cristal

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.3	2.2	Watch
	2.5	3.1	2.5
	2.98	3.45	2.22	Watch
	2.97	3.48	2.33
	3.04	3.58	2.19	Watch
	2.9	3.2	2.25
	2.98	3.34	2.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↑ (2.69)	3.35 ↑ (3.16)	2.28 ↓ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Los Chankas
31.7%

Draw
27.7%

Sporting Cristal
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

29.3%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

28%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Los Chankas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Sporting Cristal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Los Chankas than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Cristal than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sporting Cristal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Los Chankas - Sporting Cristal Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Los Chankas will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Sporting Cristal will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Los Chankas (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Camacho H. (G) 18. Takeuchi O. (C) 2. Gonzalez H. 33. Pimienta C. 26. Gonzales D. 31. Quintana A. 8. Quiroz A. 5. Palomino J. 15. Sanchez K. 10. Torres F. 11. Quintero J.	1. Enriquez D. (G) 8. Sosa L. 20. Araujo M. 5. Lutiger R. 90. Cristiano 25. Tavara M. 55. Cazonatti G. 19. Yotun Y. (C) 27. Gabriel 11. Avila I. 23. Castro M.
Substitutes
6. Ayarza A. 27. Barrios K. 77. Espinoza Vega F. E. 14. Guevara B. 30. Kaufman M. 89. Posito J. 12. Pretel L. (G) 20. Torres M. 17. Velarde C.	96. Abram L. 33. Bautista C. (G) 14. Benavente C. 44. Castillo G. 41. Cuenca J. 16. Iberico L. 15. Posito Olazabal A. J. 9. Vizeu F. 26. Wisdom I.
Coaches
Paolella W.	Autuori P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
11', Gonzalez H. 🟨,
12', 1 - 0, Quintero J. ⚽,
35', 2 - 0, Torres F. ⚽, Quiroz A. (A),
41', 2 - 1, Araujo M. ⚽, Tavara M. (A),
44', Lutiger R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Cazonatti G. ↓, Iberico L. ↑,
60', Avila I. ↓, Vizeu F. ↑,
61', Gabriel ↓, Benavente C. ↑,
68', Quintero J. ↓, Torres M. ↑,
69', Torres F. ↓, Barrios K. ↑,
74', Pimienta C. ↓, Kaufman M. ↑,
74', Sanchez K. ↓, Ayarza A. ↑,
74', Sosa L. ↓, Cuenca J. ↑,
78', 3 - 1, Ayarza A. ⚽,
79', Torres M. 🟨,
83', Quiroz A. ↓, Velarde C. ↑,
86', Barrios K. 🟨,
90+7', 3 - 2, Iberico L. ⚽, Yotun Y. (A),

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: ) and 6).

Los Chankas is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Sporting Cristal has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Los Chankas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Los Chankas won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:8. (average 1.6:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Los Chankas won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Sporting Cristal	10	6	1	3	20:10	10	19
15	Los Chankas	11	2	3	6	11:24	-13	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Los Chankas
Peruvian Liga 1
14.03.26	Juan Pablo II College - Los Chankas	2:3 ✺
08.03.26	Los Chankas - Universitario de Deportes	3:1 ✺
27.02.26	FBC Melgar - Los Chankas	1:2 ✺
22.02.26	Los Chankas - Sport Huancayo	3:2 ✺
15.02.26	Comerciantes Unidos - Los Chankas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 42.9 WWWWT
- Sporting Cristal
Peruvian Liga 1
15.03.26	Sporting Cristal - Sport Boys	3:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
11.03.26	Sporting Cristal - Carabobo	2:2 penalties ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
07.03.26	Sporting Cristal - Alianza Atlético	3:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
04.03.26	Carabobo - Sporting Cristal	0:1 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
28.02.26	Sport Huancayo - Sporting Cristal	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
26.10.25	Sporting Cristal - Los Chankas	0:1
21.06.25	Los Chankas - Sporting Cristal	3:1
31.07.24	Los Chankas - Sporting Cristal	3:3
15.02.24	Sporting Cristal - Los Chankas	4:1

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