Match Info

Date: 18 April 2021, Sunday


	Atlético Madrid		Eibar

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.2	8.5	Watch
	1.42	4.33	8.5
	1.45	4.2	9	Watch
	1.45	4.2	7.6
	1.47	4.24	9.03
	1.44	4.2	8.5	Watch
	1.46	4.33	8.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.43)	4.24 ↓ (4.27)	8.46 ↓ (8.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Madrid
66.1%

Draw
22.6%

Eibar
11.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.6%

22.4%

11%

Our Initial ML Estimation

77.7%

19.2%

9.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Eibar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (+11.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Madrid, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eibar than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.2%	2.7%	7.1%

Atlético Madrid - Eibar Predictions

Users Predictions: Atlético Madrid will win (202 of 224 users predict this - 90.18%).
Confidence interval (95%): 86.28% – 94.08%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

No spectators.

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion to Champions League (Group Stage) and 20 in the zone Relegation to LaLiga2).

Atlético has not chance of relegated, has a very good chance of qualify for ucl (>99%), has a chance of win league (18%).

Eibar has a good chance of relegated (76%), has not chance of qualify for ucl.

Recent matches Atlético is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Eibar is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Eibar could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Atlético have a series of guest games.

In this match Atlético is absolute favorite.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Atlético won 11 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 28-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Atlético won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 15-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Madrid
Spanish LaLiga
11.04.21	Betis - Atlético Madrid	1:1 ✺
04.04.21	Sevilla - Atlético Madrid	1:0 ✺
21.03.21	Atlético Madrid - Deportivo Alavés	1:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
17.03.21	Chelsea - Atlético Madrid	2:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
13.03.21	Getafe - Atlético Madrid	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 TLWLT
- SD Eibar
Spanish LaLiga
10.04.21	Eibar - Levante	0:1 ✺
03.04.21	Real Madrid - Eibar	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
25.03.21	Osasuna - Eibar	0:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
20.03.21	Athletic Bilbao - Eibar	1:1 ✺
14.03.21	Eibar - Villarreal	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
21.01.21	Eibar - Atlético Madrid	1:2
18.01.20	Eibar - Atlético Madrid	2:0
01.09.19	Atlético Madrid - Eibar	3:2
20.04.19	Eibar - Atlético Madrid	0:1
15.09.18	Atlético Madrid - Eibar	1:1
20.05.18	Atlético Madrid - Eibar	2:2
13.01.18	Eibar - Atlético Madrid	0:1

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