Football Main Page Smart Tips. Daily.

Atlético Madrid - Arsenal: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

BetssonGet 100% up to 500 SEK + 100 Free spins

#advertisement
betinasia
betinasia
partner
Advertisement

Match Info

  • Champions League - Play Offs - Semi-finals
  • Date: 29 April 2026, Wednesday
  • Location: Metropolitano Stadium (Madrid)
  • Referee: Makkelie D. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
    • afghanistanAfghanistanMeraj Sport, Solh Sports 1
    africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 1, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Premier League
    albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 1, Vizion+
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN, FOX Sports
    armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
    australiaAustraliaStan Sport
    austriaAustriaCanal+
    azerbaijanAzerbaijanIctimai TV
    belarusBelarusSport TV
    belgiumBelgiumPickx+ Sports 1, Pickx+ Sports 1, RTL Club, RTL Play, VTM 2, VTM GO
    boliviaBoliviaESPN
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
    brazilBrazilClaro TV+, HBO Max, Sky+, TNT Sports, Vivo Play, Zapping
    bulgariaBulgariaBTV Action, Voyo
    canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
    chileChileDisney+, ESPN Premium
    chinaChinaiQIYI, ZhiBo8
    colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, HRT 2, HRTi, MAXtv To Go
    cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sport 4K, Cytavision Sport 4K, Cytavision Sports 2, Cytavision Sports 2, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
    czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
    denmarkDenmarkTV3+, Viaplay, V Sport Ultra
    ecuadorEcuadorESPN
    europeEuropeGo3 Extra Sports Baltic
    finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1, V Sport Premium
    franceFranceCANAL+ Foot, CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 1, CANAL+ Sport, Free, New World TV
    georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 1, Silk Universal
    germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch
    greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 1, Cosmote Sport 4K, MEGA
    hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3
    hungaryHungaryRTL+
    icelandIcelandSÝN Sport
    indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Sony Sports TEN 3, Sony Sports TEN 4
    indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, SCTV, Vidio
    iranIranPersiana Sports
    irelandIrelandPremier Sports 1 ROI, RTE 2, RTE Player, Shabake 3
    israelIsrael5 LIVE Israel, 5 SPORT Israel
    italyItalyAmazon Prime Video
    japanJapanWowow Live
    kazakhstanKazakhstanQazsport
    kenyaKenyaGotv
    kosovoKosovoArena Premium 1, RTK 1
    laosLaosbeIN Connect
    malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Canal+, Canal+ Sport 1, Sooka
    maldivesMaldivesMedianet
    maltaMaltaTSN Malta 1
    mexicoMexicoFOX One, FOX Sports
    moldovaMoldovaJurnal TV
    mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 2
    myanmarMyanmarCanal+ Myanmar
    netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Go, Ziggo Sport
    new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
    nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Football Plus, Supersport Maximo 1
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaRUSH Sports 2 Caribbean
    north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaTDM Desporto
    norwayNorwayTV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1
    pakistanPakistanTapmad
    paraguayParaguayESPN
    peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
    philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
    polandPolandCanal+ Extra 1, TVP 1, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport
    portugalPortugalSport TV5
    romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 1, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1, Prima TV
    russiaRussiaOkko Sport
    serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1, RTS 1
    singaporeSingaporebeIN Sport 1
    slovakiaSlovakiaKanal A, Nova Sport 3, Voyo
    south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Grandstand, Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
    south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
    south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
    spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+
    surinameSurinameATV Suriname
    swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Premium
    switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport D2, Blue Sport D2, Play RTS, Play RTS, RSI La 2, RTS 2, RTS 2, RTS Sport, RTS Sport, SRF 2, SRF 2, SRF Play, SRF Play, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
    taiwanTaiwanELTA Sports 1
    tajikistanTajikistanFutbol TV, Varzish Sport
    thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
    turkeyTurkeyTabii, TRT 1
    turkmenistanTurkmenistanTurkmenistan Sport
    ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomBBC Radio 5 Live, HBO Max, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports Ultimate
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsaCBS Sports Network, CBS, Paramount+, TUDN App, TUDN, Univision
    uzbekistanUzbekistanFutbol TV, Zor TV
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
    vietnamVietnamON Football, ON Plus, VTVcab, VTV Prime
    worldWorldSport 24, Sport 24 At Sea
    Atlético Madrid Arsenal
    Atlético Madrid Arsenal
    1 X 2
    #Advertisement. GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ 3.1 3.4 2.3
    Bwin 2.75 3.25 2.55
    betsson 3.2 3.45 2.3
    Bet_in_Asia 3.19 3.51 2.36
    GGBet 3.13 3.44 2.38
    Williamhill 3 3.25 2.3
    BetNow 2.98 3.47 2.46
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.05 ↑
    (2.87)    		 3.4 ↑
    (3.35)    		 2.38 ↓
    (2.53)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

    • The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

    #Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

    Current Win Probability

    Atlético Madrid
    31.4%    		Draw
    28.2%    		Arsenal
    40.3%

    Initial Probability

    (when we started the analysis)
    33.4% 28.7% 37.9%

    Our Initial ML Estimation

    32.2% 29.8% 39.3%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • Arsenal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal than the current prediction. (-1%)

    • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    39.4% 29.6% 31%

    Atlético Madrid - Arsenal Predictions

  • Users Predictions: 69 users predict this event. Atlético will win (votes: 27 - 39.1%). Arsenal will win (votes: 21 - 30.4%). It will Tie (votes: 21 - 30.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético: 27.6% – 50.6%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlético (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Arsenal (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH 0 - Atlético (2.14) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • TQ, OT - Atlético (2.84) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • DNB - Atlético (2.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0, 1st Half - Atlético (2.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlético (votes: 8 - 80%). Arsenal (votes: 1 - 10%). Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
    •  Bet Now - Advertisement#ad

    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
    13. SloveniaOblak J. (G)
    14. SpainLlorente M.
    18. SpainPubill M.
    17. SlovakiaHancko D.
      3. ItalyRuggeri M.
    20. ArgentinaSimeone G.
      6. SpainKoke (C)
      5. USACardoso J.
    22. NigeriaLookman A.
      7. FranceGriezmann A.
    19. ArgentinaAlvarez J.
    		  1. SpainRaya D. (G)
      4. EnglandWhite B.
      2. FranceSaliba W.
      6. BrazilGabriel
      5. EcuadorHincapie P.
      8. NorwayOdegaard M. (C)
    36. SpainZubimendi M.
    41. EnglandRice D.
    20. EnglandMadueke N.
    14. SwedenGyökeres V.
    11. BrazilMartinelli G.
    Substitutes
    11. ArgentinaAlmada T.
    10. SpainBaena A.
    32. SpainBonar J.
    34. SpainDiaz J.
    31. SpainEsquivel S. (G)
    15. FranceLenglet C.
    24. SpainLe Normand R.
      4. SpainMendoza R.
    16. ArgentinaMolina N.
      1. ArgentinaMusso J. (G)
      9. NorwaySorloth A.
    21. MexicoVargas O.
    		13. SpainArrizabalaga K. (G)
    33. ItalyCalafiori R.
    56. EnglandDowman M.
    10. EnglandEze E.
      9. BrazilGabriel Jesus
    49. EnglandLewis-Skelly M.
      3. SpainMosquera C.
    16. DenmarkNorgaard C.
      7. EnglandSaka B.
    89. EnglandSalmon M.
    35. EnglandSetford T. (G)
    19. BelgiumTrossard L.
    Coaches
         ArgentinaSimeone D.
    		     SpainArteta M.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (0 - 1)
    • 44', 0 - 1, Gyökeres V. (Penalty Awarded),
    • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
    • 46', Simeone G. ↓, Le Normand R. ↑,
    • 56', 1 - 1, Alvarez J. (Penalty Awarded),
    • 58', Odegaard M. ↓, Eze E. ↑,
    • 68', Martinelli G. ↓, Trossard L. ↑,
    • 68', Madueke N. ↓, Saka B. ↑,
    • 69', Gyökeres V. ↓, Gabriel Jesus ↑,
    • 77', Alvarez J. ↓, Baena A. ↑,
    • 78', Hancko D. 🟨,
    • 86', White B. ↓, Mosquera C. ↑,
    • 88', Cardoso J. ↓, Molina N. ↑,

    Preview

  • First leg.
  • Recent form of Atlético has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
  • In recent matches, Arsenal has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
  • Atlético may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
  • There will not play in Atlético: Barrios P. (Muscle Injury) Gonzalez N. (Muscle Injury)
  • There will not play in Arsenal: Havertz K. (Knee Injury) Merino M. (Foot Injury) Timber J. (Ankle Injury)
  • There are questionable in Atlético: Gimenez J. M. (Injury)
  • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Atlético won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Atlético won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

    • Outrights of UEFA Champions League for now
    Arsenal: 11.4% Atl. Madrid: 1.83%

    Standings

    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    15Arsenal11001:013
    26Atl. Madrid10011:2-10

    Last Results with these Odds

    Atlético Madrid - the odds 2.87 are the expected chance of winning is 33.43%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

    Form
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - Atlético Madrid
    Spanish LaLiga
    25.04.26 Atlético Madrid - Athletic Bilbao 3:2 ✺
    22.04.26 Elche - Atlético Madrid 3:2 ✺
    Spanish Copa del Rey
    18.04.26 Atlético Madrid - Real Sociedad 2:3 penalties ✺
    UEFA Champions League
    14.04.26 Atlético Madrid - Barcelona 1:2 ✺
    Spanish LaLiga
    11.04.26 Sevilla - Atlético Madrid 2:1 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6
    WLLLL
    - Arsenal FC
    English Premier League
    25.04.26 Arsenal - Newcastle United 1:0 ✺
    19.04.26 Manchester City - Arsenal 2:1 ✺
    UEFA Champions League
    15.04.26 Arsenal - Sporting Lisbon 0:0 ✺
    English Premier League
    11.04.26 Arsenal - Bournemouth 1:2 ✺
    UEFA Champions League
    07.04.26 Sporting Lisbon - Arsenal 0:1 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4
    WLTLW
    Latest Head to Head
    UEFA Champions League
    21.10.25 Arsenal - Atlético Madrid 4:0
    International Champions Cup
    26.07.18 Atlético Madrid - Arsenal 2:1 penalties
    UEFA Europa League
    03.05.18 Atlético Madrid - Arsenal 1:0
    26.04.18 Arsenal - Atlético Madrid 1:1
    Upcoming Matches
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - Atlético Madrid
    UEFA Champions League
    13.10.26 Atlético Madrid - Manchester United ✺
    Spanish LaLiga
    10.10.26 Deportivo Alavés - Atlético Madrid ✺
    - Arsenal FC
    UEFA Champions League
    13.10.26 Arsenal - Lille ✺
    English Premier League
    10.10.26 Arsenal - Leeds United ✺

    Top Bookmakers Offers

    bet365Bet £10 and get £30 in Free Bets

    Extensive live betting options | More markets than other online bookmaker | One of the best betting apps

    BetssonGet 100% up to 500 SEK + 100 Free spins

    Live betting and statistics | High withdrawal limit | Horse racing available

    GGBETBetting Bonus up to 1 000 EUR + 250 EUR free bet !

    Extensive coverage with 20+ esports titles | Supports many payment methods | 24/7 support via the live chat feature

    Top Sports Predictions Today
    NFL
    NBA
    Euroleague
    NHL
    ATP Shanghai
    WTA Beijing
    NCAA College Football
    EHF Champions League
    Brazilian Serie A
    German Bundesliga Handball
    MLB
    SHL
    Olympic Games - Football Women
    Turkish Cup
    KHL
    About TVEvents

    TVEvents.org is a specialized sports analytics platform covering over 1,000 leagues worldwide. We combine advanced machine learning algorithms with expert human assessment to provide accurate H2H statistics, predictions, and real-time results. Our mission is to deliver professional-grade sports insights and free betting tips to fans globally.

    gambleaware.org  gamble responsibly
     gams top     play responsible

    © 2012-2026. All Rights Reserved.

    Yuriy
    yuriy.borshchenko@gmail.com
    tel: +380939832301

    Facebook Twitter RSS
    %ALT_TXT%%
    advertisement