The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atlético Morelia 66.5%
Draw 19.9%
Dorados 13.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
65.8%
20.5%
13.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
68.9%
19.6%
13.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Morelia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
Dorados has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Morelia than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dorados than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Atlético Morelia - Dorados Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Torres A. (G) 11. Figueroa B. 10. Figueroa F. 28. Flores A. 13. Galindo J. 7. Islas O. 8. Martinez J. 2. Ortega W. 22. Parra D. 5. Torres D. (C) 24. Vazquez B.
18. Higuera C. (G) 7. Alvarez J. 8. Cortes J. 15. Galicia C. 11. Garcia L. 3. Manriquez S. 24. Ramirez A. 9. Rengifo J. 6. Rochester L. 4. Ruiz L. 27. Sanchez E. (C)
Substitutes
9. del Campo R. 23. Esqueda D. 19. Gallegos D. 16. Garcia U. 34. Gonzalez B. (G) 15. Gutierrez A. 32. Moreno G. 17. Nambo M. 20. Palma A. 30. Sandoval L.
13. Barrera G. (G) 10. Bonilla E. 12. Egana A. 5. Flores A. 16. Martinez D. 33. Parra R. 14. Sol M. 26. Valenzuela A. 19. Vazquez D. 2. Yanez S.
Coaches
Adame G.
Saucedo C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
17', Ramirez A. 🟨,
21', Higuera C. 🟨,
26', 1 - 0, Flores A. ⚽,
29', Rochester L. 🟨,
42', Garcia L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Rochester L. ↓, Martinez D. ↑,
46', Sanchez E. ↓, Flores A. ↑,
49', 1 - 1, Garcia L. ⚽,
51', Torres D. 🟨,
53', Martinez J. 🟨,
55', Galicia C. 🟨,
55', Alvarez J. ↓, Yanez S. ↑,
72', Garcia L. ↓, Vazquez D. ↑,
78', Islas O. ↓, Nambo M. ↑,
78', Martinez J. ↓, del Campo R. ↑,
78', Ramirez A. ↓, Parra R. ↑,
83', 2 - 1, Figueroa F. ⚽,
90+1', Flores A. ↓, Gutierrez A. ↑,
90+1', Figueroa B. ↓, Sandoval L. ↑,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 14).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Morelia won 2.
Recent performances by Atlético Morelia have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Dorados's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Dorados may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Atlético Morelia is the undisputed favorite.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Atlético Morelia won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:14. (average 1.8:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Morelia won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:2. (average 2.2:0.4).
Watch
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Torres A. (G) 
Rochester L. 
del Campo R. 
Bonilla E. 
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