Match Info

Serie B - Relegation Group - Round 8

Date: 16 October 2025, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping


	Atlético Vinotinto		Chacaritas

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.38	8.12
	1.32	4.61	9.65	Watch
	1.4	4.1	7.12	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↑ (1.33)	4.36 ↓ (4.65)	8.3 ↓ (8.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Atlético Vinotinto
67.8%

Draw
21.1%

Chacaritas
11.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.5%

19.9%

10.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.6%

18.8%

10%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Vinotinto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Chacaritas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Vinotinto than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Vinotinto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chacaritas than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Atlético Vinotinto - Chacaritas Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, ⚽,
15', 2 - 0, ⚽,
20', 3 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', 4 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Atlético Vinotinto is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Atlético Vinotinto won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 2.7:1).

Including home match between the teams, Atlético Vinotinto won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Vinotinto
Ecuadorian Serie B
12.10.25	Atlético Vinotinto - Imbabura	1:1 ✺
08.10.25	Vargas Torres - Atlético Vinotinto	0:0 ✺
24.09.25	Atlético Vinotinto - Cumbayá	0:1 ✺
18.09.25	Chacaritas - Atlético Vinotinto	2:2 ✺
10.09.25	Atlético Vinotinto - Vargas Torres	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TTLTT
- Chacaritas FC
Ecuadorian Serie B
12.10.25	Cumbayá - Chacaritas	0:0 ✺
08.10.25	Chacaritas - 22 de Julio	0:1 ✺
25.09.25	Vargas Torres - Chacaritas	0:0 ✺
18.09.25	Chacaritas - Atlético Vinotinto	2:2 ✺
10.09.25	22 de Julio - Chacaritas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 TLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
18.09.25	Chacaritas - Atlético Vinotinto	2:2
10.07.25	Chacaritas - Atlético Vinotinto	1:2
30.04.25	Atlético Vinotinto - Chacaritas	4:0

Atlético Vinotinto - Chacaritas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide