Match Info

Serie B - Relegation Group - Round 3

Date: 10 September 2025, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping


	Atlético Vinotinto		Vargas Torres

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.2	5.46
	2.18	2.97	3.56	Watch
	1.71	3.13	5.15
	2	3.4	3.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2)	3.18 ↓ (3.4)	4.33 ↑ (3.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Atlético Vinotinto
48.8%

Draw
29.5%

Vargas Torres
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

26.4%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

26.6%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Vinotinto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Vargas Torres has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vargas Torres might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Vinotinto than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vargas Torres than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vargas Torres could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Atlético Vinotinto - Vargas Torres Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Atlético Vinotinto will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Atlético Vinotinto will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', 🟥,

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Vargas Torres may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Atlético Vinotinto is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Atlético Vinotinto won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Atlético Vinotinto won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Vinotinto
Ecuadorian Serie B
04.09.25	Imbabura - Atlético Vinotinto	0:3 ✺
28.08.25	22 de Julio - Atlético Vinotinto	1:0 ✺
17.08.25	Atlético Vinotinto - Cumbayá	4:0 ✺
10.08.25	9 de Octubre - Atlético Vinotinto	0:1 ✺
31.07.25	Atlético Vinotinto - Gualaceo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLWWL
- CSD Vargas Torres
Ecuadorian Serie B
03.09.25	Vargas Torres - 22 de Julio	4:0 ✺
26.08.25	Cumbayá - Vargas Torres	1:1 ✺
16.08.25	Guayaquil City - Vargas Torres	0:0 ✺
10.08.25	Vargas Torres - Independiente Juniors	0:0 ✺
29.07.25	San Antonio - Vargas Torres	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
04.06.25	Vargas Torres - Atlético Vinotinto	2:2
26.03.25	Atlético Vinotinto - Vargas Torres	2:1

Atlético Vinotinto - Vargas Torres: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide