Match Info

Serie B - Relegation Group - Round 7

Date: 8 October 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Ciudad de Pelileo (Pelileo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping


	Chacaritas		22 de Julio

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.48	3.25	2.49
	2.81	3.31	2.38	Watch
	2.41	3.22	2.61	Watch
	2.74	3.25	2.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↓ (2.76)	3.26 ↓ (3.27)	2.46 ↑ (2.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chacaritas
34.9%

Draw
28%

22 de Julio
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.1%

28%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3%

27.8%

38.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chacaritas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

22 de Julio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chacaritas than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for 22 de Julio than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Chacaritas - 22 de Julio Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Chacaritas won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:6. (average 1.3:2).

Including home match between the teams, Chacaritas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chacaritas FC
Ecuadorian Serie B
25.09.25	Vargas Torres - Chacaritas	0:0 ✺
18.09.25	Chacaritas - Atlético Vinotinto	2:2 ✺
10.09.25	22 de Julio - Chacaritas	1:1 ✺
02.09.25	Chacaritas - Cumbayá	4:1 ✺
28.08.25	Chacaritas - Imbabura	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.8 TTTWL
- 22 de Julio FC
Ecuadorian Serie B
27.09.25	Imbabura - 22 de Julio	1:1 ✺
16.09.25	Cumbayá - 22 de Julio	2:0 ✺
10.09.25	22 de Julio - Chacaritas	1:1 ✺
03.09.25	Vargas Torres - 22 de Julio	4:0 ✺
28.08.25	22 de Julio - Atlético Vinotinto	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
10.09.25	22 de Julio - Chacaritas	1:1
22.07.25	22 de Julio - Chacaritas	3:0
13.05.25	Chacaritas - 22 de Julio	3:2

Chacaritas - 22 de Julio: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide