Match Info

LITHUANIA: Lithuanian Cup - Quarter-finals

Date: 6 August 2024, Tuesday

Location: Mažeikių stadionas - artificial grass (Mazeikiai)


	Atmosfera Mažeikiai		Hegelmann Litauen

	1	X	2
				Watch
	13	8.5	1.11
				Watch
	12.8	7.47	1.12
	14.63	7.19	1.14	Watch
	17	8.1	1.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	14.36 ↑ (7.27)	7.82 ↑ (5)	1.12 ↓ (1.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atmosfera Mažeikiai
6.4%

Draw
11.7%

Hegelmann Litauen
81.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.5%

18.2%

69.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.9%

17.4%

72.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atmosfera Mažeikiai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atmosfera Mažeikiai's form might have worsened.

Hegelmann Litauen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hegelmann Litauen's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atmosfera Mažeikiai than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atmosfera Mažeikiai, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hegelmann Litauen than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hegelmann Litauen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Hegelmann Litauen Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Hegelmann will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Lopez K. (G) 15. Bawa Zuure M. 17. Fushimi T. 11. Gineitis D. (C) 14. Gritkus E. 22. Jankauskas J. 4. Mika A. 71. Ogundu M. 10. Pilpani B. 8. Shapovalov Y. 6. Vasiliauskas M.	16. Sarkauskas V. (G) 5. Antanavicius D. 66. Armalas V. 30. Brisola F. 6. Hugo Figueredo 21. Kausinis E. 14. Kingue S. 15. Leo Ribeiro 11. Njoya A. 9. Upstas K. (C) 7. Vareika M.
Substitutes
7. Andriejauskas A. 21. Ciuta I. 16. Hiruma T. 1. Juska L. (G) 9. Najulis K. 19. Oh Se-Sim 20. Srederis N. 2. Stasys M. 5. Vasquez S.	22. Brazinskas A. (G) 25. Keliauskas K. 99. Michael Thuique 13. Olsauskas K. 19. Pasilys D. 10. Popescu P. 45. Shchedryi A.
Coaches
Sluta M.	Skerla A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Kingue S. ⚽, Kausinis E. (A),
8', 0 - 2, Vareika M. ⚽, Kausinis E. (A),
39', Kausinis E. 🟨,
45', Pilpani B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
49', Jankauskas J. 🟨,
56', Gritkus E. ↓, Hiruma T. ↑,
63', Hugo Figueredo ↓, Shchedryi A. ↑,
63', Brisola F. ↓, Popescu P. ↑,
68', 0 - 3, Shchedryi A. ⚽, Leo Ribeiro (A),
75', 0 - 4, Vareika M. ⚽, Kausinis E. (A),
80', Gineitis D. 🟨,

Preview

Atmosfera is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Hegelmann in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Atmosfera could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Hegelmann have a series of guest games.

In this match Hegelmann is certain favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Atmosfera won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Atmosfera won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atmosfera Mažeikiai
Lithuanian Division 2
03.08.24	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Neptūnas	1:0 ✺
27.07.24	Banga Gargždai 2 - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	0:0 ✺
26.06.24	BE1 NFA Kaunas - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	3:0 ✺
21.06.24	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Babrungas Plungė	0:2 ✺
15.06.24	Minija Kretinga - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WTLLL
- Hegelmann Litauen
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
03.08.24	Dainava Alytus - Hegelmann Litauen	0:1 ✺
19.07.24	Džiugas Telšiai - Hegelmann Litauen	0:2 ✺
12.07.24	Banga Gargždai - Hegelmann Litauen	2:4 ✺
04.07.24	Panevėžys - Hegelmann Litauen	0:1 ✺
30.06.24	Hegelmann Litauen - Žalgiris	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
15.08.20	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Hegelmann Litauen	0:1
10.08.19	Hegelmann Litauen - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	5:2
13.04.19	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Hegelmann Litauen	1:2

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