Match Info

AUSTRALIA: A-League - Round 9

Date: 20 December 2024, Friday

Location: Go Media Stadium (Auckland)

Referee: Reibelt C. (Aus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Paramount+
Hong-kong	M Plus Live
India	FanCode, FanCode
Macao	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
New-zealand	Sky Sport 1
Philippines	Cignal Play, Premier Football
Singapore	HUB Sports 2, StarHub TV+
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 1
Usa	ESPN 3, ESPN App


	Auckland FC		Western United

	1	X	2
	1.55	4.75	5.25	Watch
	1.55	4.33	5.25
	1.53	4.5	5.5
	1.56	4.59	5.76
	1.55	4.49	5.51	Watch
	1.55	4.2	5
	1.55	4.5	5.4
	1.53	4.5	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.55)	4.48 ↑ (4.35)	5.4 ↓ (5.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Auckland FC
61.3%

Draw
21.1%

Western United
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.1%

21.7%

17.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.5%

20.9%

16.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Auckland FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Western United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Auckland FC than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Western United than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

Auckland FC - Western United Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Auckland will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Western United will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Auckland: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Paulsen A. (G) 17. Elliot C. 2. Sakai H. 4. Pijnaker N. 15. De Vries F. 6. Verstraete L. 28. Gallegos L. F. 14. Gillion L. 22. Brimmer J. 25. Moreno N. 10. May G.	33. Sutton M. (G) 13. Russell T. 6. Imai T. 30. Leonard D. 29. Shamoon C. A. 77. Danzaki R. 23. Bozinovski R. 32. Thurgate A. 20. Walatee A. 9. Ibusuki H. 19. Botic N.
Substitutes
3. Galloway S. 9. Mata M. A. 18. Mckenlay F. 21. Randall J. 27. Rogerson L. 5. Smith T. 1. Woud M. (G)	10. Grimaldi M. 1. Heward-Belle T. (G) 44. Lauton J. 14. Najdovski J. 7. Najjarine R. 24. Ruhs M. 22. Vidmar K.
Coaches
Corica S.	Aloisi J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
17', 0 - 1, Danzaki R. (Pen),
21', Gallegos L. F. 🟨,
23', 0 - 2, Botic N. ⚽,
34', 0 - 3, Ibusuki H. ⚽, Imai T. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Brimmer J. ↓, Rogerson L. ↑,
46', Elliot C. ↓, Galloway S. ↑,
53', Moreno N. ↓, Randall J. ↑,
66', Walatee A. ↓, Grimaldi M. ↑,
66', Botic N. ↓, Ruhs M. ↑,
67', De Vries F. ↓, Mata M. A. ↑,
78', Bozinovski R. ↓, Lauton J. ↑,
78', Danzaki R. ↓, Najjarine R. ↑,
80', Imai T. 🟨,
85', Ibusuki H. ↓, Najdovski J. ↑,
87', 0 - 4, Grimaldi M. ⚽, Najjarine R. (A),
88', Verstraete L. ↓, Mckenlay F. ↑,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 8).

Auckland in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Western United is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Auckland is a favorite.

There will not play in Western United: Garuccio B. (Calf Injury) Kaddour K. (Knee Injury) Pasquali S. (Injury)

There are questionable in Western United: Donachie J. (Calf Injury)

Our prediction for today's Auckland to win the game is with odds 1.58.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Auckland FC
Australian A-League
15.12.24	Melbourne City - Auckland FC	2:2 ✺
06.12.24	Auckland FC - Wellington Phoenix	2:1 ✺
29.11.24	Auckland FC - Newcastle Jets	2:0 ✺
24.11.24	Macarthur FC - Auckland FC	0:1 ✺
02.11.24	Wellington Phoenix - Auckland FC	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 TWWWW
- Western United
Australian A-League
14.12.24	Sydney - Western United	3:4 ✺
07.12.24	Western United - Macarthur FC	0:0 ✺
01.12.24	Western United - Melbourne Victory	1:3 ✺
22.11.24	Perth Glory - Western United	1:3 ✺
09.11.24	Adelaide United - Western United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WTLWL

Auckland FC - Western United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide