Match Info

AUSTRALIA: A-League - Round 6

Date: 1 December 2024, Sunday

Location: AAMI Park (Melbourne)

Referee: Bavcar A. (Aus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	10 Bold, 10 Play, Paramount+
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Hong-kong	M Plus Live
India	FanCode, FanCode
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Philippines	Cignal Play, Premier Football
Singapore	HUB Sports 2, StarHub TV+
Turkey	S Sport+
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 3
Usa	ESPN 3, ESPN App


	Western United		Melbourne Victory

	1	X	2
	4.5	4	1.7	Watch
	4.4	4	1.68
	4.5	4	1.7
	4.79	4.09	1.72
	4.59	4.07	1.7	Watch
	4.5	4	1.65
	4.49	4.05	1.72	Watch
	4.5	4	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.53 ↑ (3.86)	4.03 ↑ (3.8)	1.7 ↓ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Western United
20.8%

Draw
23.5%

Melbourne Victory
55.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.4%

24.8%

50.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Western United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Melbourne Victory has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Western United - Melbourne Victory Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Western United will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Melbourne Victory will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Sutton M. (G) 13. Russell T. 6. Imai T. (C) 22. Vidmar K. 29. Shamoon C. A. 77. Danzaki R. 32. Thurgate A. 23. Bozinovski R. 10. Grimaldi M. 9. Ibusuki H. 19. Botic N.	25. Duncan J. (G) 2. Geria J. 5. Hamill B. 21. Roderick (C) 28. Bos K. 14. Valadon J. 6. Teague R. 11. Santos 8. Machach Z. 7. Arzani D. 9. Vergos N.
Substitutes
1. Heward-Belle T. (G) 44. Lauton J. 14. Najdovski J. 7. Najjarine R. 24. Ruhs M. 20. Walatee A. 34. York J.	10. Fornaroli B. 30. Graskoski D. (G) 18. Monge F. 27. Piscopo R. 22. Rawlins J. 19. Reec J. 3. Traore A.
Coaches
Aloisi J.	Kisnorbo P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Machach Z. ⚽, Arzani D. (A),
19', 1 - 1, Botic N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
48', 1 - 2, Vergos N. ⚽, Machach Z. (A),
66', Arzani D. ↓, Piscopo R. ↑,
66', Vergos N. ↓, Fornaroli B. ↑,
69', 1 - 3, Fornaroli B. ⚽,
69', Grimaldi M. ↓, Walatee A. ↑,
75', Botic N. ↓, Ruhs M. ↑,
75', Danzaki R. ↓, Najjarine R. ↑,
78', Teague R. ↓, Monge F. ↑,
78', Santos ↓, Reec J. ↑,
80', Bozinovski R. ↓, Lauton J. ↑,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 10 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Western United won 3.

Recent matches Western United is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Melbourne Victory is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Melbourne Victory could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Melbourne Victory is a favorite.

There will not play in Western United: Kaddour K. (Knee Injury) Leonard D. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Western United: Donachie J. (Calf Injury) Imai T. (Hip Injury)

Last 16 head-to-head matches Western United won 8 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 27:26 (average 1.7:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Western United won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9:12 (average 1.1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Western United
Australian A-League
22.11.24	Perth Glory - Western United	1:3 ✺
09.11.24	Adelaide United - Western United	2:1 ✺
04.11.24	Western United - Melbourne City	0:1 ✺
27.10.24	Western United - Western Sydney Wanderers	1:1 ✺
19.10.24	Wellington Phoenix - Western United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WLLTT
- Melbourne Victory
Australian A-League
23.11.24	Wellington Phoenix - Melbourne Victory	1:0 ✺
09.11.24	Melbourne Victory - Brisbane Roar	2:0 ✺
03.11.24	Melbourne Victory - Macarthur FC	2:1 ✺
26.10.24	Melbourne City - Melbourne Victory	1:3 ✺
18.10.24	Central Coast Mariners - Melbourne Victory	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Australian A-League
14.03.24	Western United - Melbourne Victory	2:2
20.02.24	Melbourne Victory - Western United	2:1
13.03.23	Melbourne Victory - Western United	1:2
26.12.22	Western United - Melbourne Victory	1:0
Australian Cup
03.08.22	Western United - Melbourne Victory	2:1
Australian A-League
21.05.22	Melbourne Victory - Western United	1:4
17.05.22	Western United - Melbourne Victory	0:1

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