Match Info

Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 1

Date: 8 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Bicentenario de La Florida (Santiago de Chile)

Referee: Matonte Cabrera A. M. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 3
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Bolivia	ESPN 5
Brazil	Paramount+
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
Colombia	ESPN 5
Ecuador	ESPN 5
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Paraguay	ESPN 5, Tigo Sports
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 5
South-america	ViX Latin America
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Fubo Latino, Tubi TV
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 5


	Audax Italiano		Olimpia Asuncion

	1	X	2
	3.3	2.9	2.38	Watch
	2.5	3.1	2.85
	3.05	3.05	2.32	Watch
	3.33	3.11	2.37
	3.29	3.06	2.37	Watch
	3.2	2.9	2.3
	3.6	3.01	2.38	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.18 ↑ (2.64)	3.02 ↑ (2.83)	2.42 ↓ (3.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Audax Italiano
29.7%

Draw
31.3%

Olimpia Asuncion
39%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

33.4%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

34%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Audax Italiano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Audax Italiano's form might have worsened.

Olimpia Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Olimpia Asuncion's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Audax Italiano than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Audax Italiano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpia Asuncion than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Olimpia Asuncion, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	71.4%	14.3%

Audax Italiano - Olimpia Asuncion Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Audax Italiano will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Olimpia will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ahumada T. (G) 13. Ferrario E. 29. Ortiz M. 4. Pina D. 35. Rebolledo R. 8. Collao M. (C) 28. Mateos F. 23. Matus E. 18. Aedo N. 11. Troyansky F. 21. Chiaverano G.	1. Olveira G. (G) 7. Cardozo F. 14. Vargas G. 2. Bentaberry B. 16. Chala A. 5. Alfaro J. F. 6. Ortiz R. (C) 8. Franco Zayas A. F. 19. Lezcano R. 17. Alcaraz A. 37. Benitez R.
Substitutes
10. Cabral R. 9. Coelho D. 27. Fuentes M. 33. Fuenzalida I. 25. Garrido P. (G) 7. Guajardo P. 20. Jimenez M. 17. Loyola F. 14. Monreal D. 16. Rojas Munoz O. J. 32. Soto B. 2. Zenteno V.	27. Caceres R. 20. Delmas E. 11. Ferreira S. 29. Leguizamon I. 25. Lentinelly S. (G) 23. Perez R. 28. Quintana H. 30. Rodriguez Armoa A. F. 26. Sanchez R. 9. Sandoval H. 3. Silva A. 22. Vera J.
Coaches
Lema G.	Sanchez P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
22', Benitez R. 🟨,
23', 0 - 1, Lezcano R. ⚽, Benitez R. (A),
35', 0 - 2, Alfaro J. F. ⚽, Benitez R. (A),
41', Ferrario E. 🟨,
45+2', Bentaberry B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Franco Zayas A. F. ↓, Sanchez R. ↑,
62', Cardozo F. ↓, Caceres R. ↑,
62', Lezcano R. ↓, Leguizamon I. ↑,
62', Collao M. ↓, Fuentes M. ↑,
75', Aedo N. ↓, Loyola F. ↑,
75', Bentaberry B. ↓, Vera J. ↑,
77', Benitez R. ↓, Delmas E. ↑,
80', Troyansky F. ↓, Coelho D. ↑,
80', Chiaverano G. ↓, Cabral R. ↑,
80', Rebolledo R. ↓, Guajardo P. ↑,
82', Loyola F. 🟨,

Preview

Recent performances by Audax Italiano have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Olimpia is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Olimpia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Olimpia Asuncion - the odds 3.08 are the expected chance of winning is 30.72%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Audax Italiano
Chilean Primera Division
03.04.26	OHiggins - Audax Italiano	2:1 ✺
Chilean Copa de la Liga
31.03.26	Audax Italiano - Universidad de Chile	1:3 ✺
25.03.26	Audax Italiano - Deportes La Serena	3:1 ✺
20.03.26	Unión La Calera - Audax Italiano	0:1 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
13.03.26	Audax Italiano - Deportes Concepción	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LLWWW
- Olimpia Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
04.04.26	Olimpia Asuncion - Nacional Asuncion	3:0 ✺
01.04.26	Sportivo Trinidense - Olimpia Asuncion	2:1 ✺
28.03.26	Olimpia Asuncion - 2 de Mayo	4:1 ✺
21.03.26	Guaraní Asuncion - Olimpia Asuncion	0:2 ✺
17.03.26	Olimpia Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WLWWW

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